Brent you deserve it!
GFS coming in money for me! ?
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GFS coming in money for me! ?
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Pattern Outside of the SE thread
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
12z vs 6z
Brent
Member
Everyone pretty much going 1-3 here with maybe a spot up to 6. They aren't buying the widespread big totals
A lot of talk about how much snow that does fall will melt. Even with some of the negative factors (warm ground, temperatures just above freezing) there are some factors making me think that we may see more accumulation.
First one is that there will be bands of snow where it will be HEAVY and that could overpower the warm ground temperatures. If we end up with bigger totals thats how its gonna happen. Second is that most of this is coming through after sunset so we wont have sun angle working aginst us which should help a little.
Brent
Member
Yeah time of day may be what ultimately saves us here tbh or dooms us depending on your point of view ?
I mean I've seen these same setups before have someone way overperform
Starting to see more reports of winter precipitation West of OKC. Heavier returns also developing.
Brent
Member
If the hi res models are right here tomorrow morning is gonna be a mess ? that seems to be a trend slower to end here. The peak is definitely gonna be way after midnight I think
Brent
Member
Well the NWS is still increasing totals
SW OK getting it good now. Mesonet showing temperatures here have dropped to 32-33 and based off reflectivity it must be ripping out there right now. Should be moving northeast in the coming hours.
Getting a mix of everything right now. Some rain, some sleet, and some wet flakes.
Solid rain/snow mix now with some huge flakes mixing in. Temperature down to 35 and dropping. Tried to get a picture as well.
Update: All snow now. 
This band is basically sitting over the south side of OKC. Temperature has dropped to 33 as well. So far its been heavy enough that accumulations are starting on grassy surfaces.
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
I sure wish I was in in NW AR. Looks like they will be the big winners.
Radar looking good boys
Brent
Member
They always win over there.... More elevation. It's mostly the hills above the cities that will probably see the warning criteria snow most likely
It's gonna be late here like I thought but I see no reason we won't at least meet expectations. I got a feeling around daybreak it may be raging
That band looks amazing near you Brent!
Brent
Member
Yeah but we're still too warm
Man what could have been with this one ? I mean it's still gonna be a win I think but yeah
Just be glad you got a ULL to work with!
post pictures
Brent
Member
Just be glad you got a ULL to work with!
Oh don't worry once it starts I'll be on it
And yeah I know it's been a rough winter