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Misc Winter Weather Support Group

superjames1992 said:
My God, I didn’t know last winter was so bad that you didn’t even top 10”…in IOWA ?
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We had a backloaded winter! Lots of March and April snows. They 9” was to this date I believe! Ended up over 40” last year
 
8” of snow in Alabama today, freezing rain on the gulf coast Monday night, -12 in Knoxville Tuesday night and my consolation prize is **checks notes** a high of 34 Saturday

y’all, we winning over here
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Freezing rain into the French quarter and here I am sleeping with my bedroom window open
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pepe-joker.gif
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
8” of snow in Alabama today, freezing rain on the gulf coast Monday night, -12 in Knoxville Tuesday night and my consolation prize is **checks notes** a high of 34 Saturday

y’all, we winning over here
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You nailed it. Saying we're getting table scraps would be a generous statement.
 
It’s sad you rent a cabin in the mountains, late January. Have a system and these are going to be the temps. Unreal.
 

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There’s Facebook showing memories from the nice snowstorm 2 years ago in the upstate. Rub it on Facebook.
 
If we should only use the CFS for pattern recognition, it doesn't look good for the next month:

Week two:
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Week three:
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Week four:
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I guess you could say week four has a "more" el nino look to it, but at this point we're now getting into the later part of February. Another point is the CFS is not a great model so maybe this wont verify.
 
Yeah this winter is something we have never seen before! Why in the 50's kids had to walk through four feet snow drifts to get to school, and this was in Florida. NC had a glacier sitting just north of us in Va and we got snow every other day. Not to mention the 70's when we had several weeks of below 0 temps and the snow lasted on the ground from Nov to April. Man I miss those days! /sarc
It is cyclical people and it will change again just like it has for the past, oh, several million years or so. Is the current day temperatures rising, absolutely, just look at the different decades this century and you can see how some are good for us and some are stinky. Look, I am just as frustrated as you are because I am getting up there in years and I don't know how many winters I have left, but I don't control the weather, but I know who does
 
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Jimmy Hypocracy said:
It really is mornings like these that keep the dry wall repair companies in business. Wintry precip into Mobile/Pensacola with a heavy rain shower streaming through the Carolina’s
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Nearly a half inch of 40 degree rain this morning here and its still pouring....most models had a tenth or less. Almost as if someone is rubbing it in on purpose at this point. I won't even get to see any real cold temps today unlike in the western half which will be in the upper 20s. Sigh.
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
It really is mornings like these that keep the dry wall repair companies in business. Wintry precip into Mobile/Pensacola with a heavy rain shower streaming through the Carolina’s
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Yeah, nice mid 30s rain shower on the way in to work this morning. Artic plunge just took a hard stop right at the Carolinas, said nah this is far enough, lol. At least I continually learn what looks are NOT good for the Carolinas.
 
SnowNiner said:
Yeah, nice mid 30s rain shower on the way in to work this morning. Artic plunge just took a hard stop right at the Carolinas, said nah this is far enough, lol. At least I continually learn what looks are NOT good for the Carolinas.
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We usually need a (strong) CAD. Yeah, a miller A system can work but that's tricky (winners and lots of losers). And, we're not even getting those with sufficient cold east of the mountains. The classic CAD setups have disappeared these past few years. With the forecast to go back into a la nina next winter, I feel like a Panthers fan looking at winning prospects for the upcoming few years.
 
Looks like the long-term ensembles still agree to an above average - seasonal temperature outlook for the majority of us through February 01.
 
BullCityWx said:
Some of yall let climo whip your tail year after year and it leads to bitter posting and bitter casting. Do something about it instead of bitching.
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We are doing something about it...we are bitter posting and bitter casting. We are hoping the snow gods get tired of our bitching and moaning and give us a foot. It's been 20 years of this and so far it's not working.
 
FallsLake said:
If we should only use the CFS for pattern recognition, it doesn't look good for the next month:

Week two:
View attachment 142632


Week three:
View attachment 142633

Week four:
View attachment 142634

I guess you could say week four has a "more" el nino look to it, but at this point we're now getting into the later part of February. Another point is the CFS is not a great model so maybe this wont verify.
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Given that the same model just had -1000 for a 30 day average I think we can safely feel ok
 
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