Tropical 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season thread

[accu35]

Where did that come from?

6z gfs

 

[accu35]

 

[Brent]

Where did that come from?

It's a very extreme unlikely solution that yeah I'm sure will be gone next run but it is from the new invest off Africa. It's gonna have a long road ahead before it gets remotely close to the US that's for sure. I do think the season is starting to flip to more active but probably not there yet. Give it a couple more weeks unless the model support for this really increases

 

[Cary_Snow95]

It's a very extreme unlikely solution that yeah I'm sure will be gone next run but it is from the new invest off Africa. It's gonna have a long road ahead before it gets remotely close to the US that's for sure. I do think the season is starting to flip to more active but probably not there yet. Give it a couple more weeks unless the model support for this really increases

Right on cue GFS backs way off, more in line with other guidance now. Most likely still too aggressive

 

[lexxnchloe]

Right on cue GFS backs way off, more in line with other guidance now. Most likely still too aggressive

View attachment 120535

Maybe it will revive tonight.

 

[Brent]

Maybe it will revive tonight.

Long way out. I mean if it even gets close to the US were talking day 10+ which is an eternity in weather

It's definitely gonna struggle along the way though that's for sure but hey it's something to watch after a month of nothing

 

[Cary_Snow95]

End of Euro continues to advertise major dry air outbreaks

 

[Shaggy]

Long way out. I mean if it even gets close to the US were talking day 10+ which is an eternity in weather

It's definitely gonna struggle along the way though that's for sure but hey it's something to watch after a month of nothing

At this point I just look for a ball on the court. Where it's at in 10 days is gonna hange for the 9 days so that not as important as getting the development in the 1st place

 

[Cary_Snow95]

 

[BHS1975]

End of Euro continues to advertise major dry air outbreaks

View attachment 120544

Maybe early Sept

 

[lexxnchloe]

View attachment 120549

Is that good or bad?

 

[Thor]

Is that good or bad?

You can assume every post he's making is bad if your rooting for a storm

 

[Cary_Snow95]

View attachment 120550

You can assume every post he's making is bad if your rooting for a storm

Hey man it’s just what’s out there right now haha. Rather ironic the feature we can’t shake is an eastern trough. You know that sucker is hauling out of here come December

 

[Thor]

Hey man it’s just what’s out there right now haha. Rather ironic the feature we can’t shake is an eastern trough. You know that sucker is hauling out of here come December

Haha I'm not saying your wrong, your keeping all the weenies at bay which is always a good thing.

 

[lexxnchloe]

Hey man it’s just what’s out there right now haha. Rather ironic the feature we can’t shake is an eastern trough. You know that sucker is hauling out of here come December

You mean i wont be getting any rain mixed with sleet at 34 degrees this winter? That might be a good thing, lol

 

[accu35]

 

[accu35]

It’s a matter of time when the environment will start to moisture up.

 

[Brent]

View attachment 120555
It’s a matter of time when the environment will start to moisture up.

Yeah like I said earlier... I'm not convinced this first wave will be the one but it's likely a precursor to things waking up. Now if it can really get it together and be a threat then yeah we got problems

 

[Cary_Snow95]

The wave coming off around 8/21 might be the first legit threat of the season

 

[accu35]

Next weekend needs to be watch in the gulf. Some of the 12z gefs members shows storm in central gulf.