wow
Member
Wow
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Wintry 01/28-29/2022 Winter Weather Potential
- Thread starter Shawn
- Start date
As I said for the 18z run, the sfc reflection is probably underdone
Tokenfreak
Member
That’s what I like to see. I’m in the lowcountry. Woohoo! Make it happen NAM!
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
It's not going to take much more to print out some 1'+ totals.NAM wave pass thru the SE
It's not every-day that Hogtown sees 850's well below freezing!
BelmontWX79
Member
If it keeps trending like this Eastern Carolina's gonna have severe wx, no snow!
Damn the NAM may look a little unrealistic there. 5 inches of snow for Columbia and 7 for Myrtle Beach? Snow even makes it as far south as Savannah! Ether way,this is trenidng very well for the Carolinas to get a significant snowfall. I love the low boming out early. You can maybe even say based on those trends that even Central GA isn't out of the game as of right now.
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
You will make it just fine. At least this gets much more of NC/SC in the game for something. Either way, you still look to be in a prime spot.
Ron Burgundy
Member
Sure seems like this thing is trying to trend back to the Saturday dream run. ?
Hypsometric
Member
Nope because she's about to cutoff if this trend continues at H5, and if it does, the surface low gets pulled back to the coast and it's boom boom time.
Is this enough qpf to work out? Oh and it’s still snowing ..
iGRXY
Member
What’s crazy is the NAM has become under done on QPF in the long range and with that look at H5 that probably is likely underdone for everyone.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
Some of that QPF would be rain at the beginning
NCSNOW
Member
I bet GAWx can get a backside flake on this one. Hope so
Good grief man. That’s one of the best NAM runs I’ve ever seen
The slp isn't really coming west as much as the trough is digging deeper, going negative and letting it bomb sooner further south. Precip explodes more west and as it heads up the coast, bombs away and column crashes all the way to the coast. It's a beaut Clark
That is something that even the March 1980 storm didn’t do… there was sizable chunk of southern SC that only got a dusting to 2”. I doubt that we see historical amounts with this storm, but if something like this NAM run unfolds, it could be historic from a standpoint of how much of NC and SC receives significant accumulation
Clem282340
Member
Could you see that for Pickens county as well
mydoortotheworld
Member
Guess for my snow chasing I'll be driving to *checks notes* ...Savannah
The way the trend is going you might not have to chase! ??
Is this what y’all call Nam’d? I think I got it. I got different colors than y’all…… 
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
mydoortotheworld
Member
Look at the way this thing swings negative as it's coming through GA. If this can do it sooner, ATL will join everyone in getting absolutely plasteredNAM wave pass thru the SE
This may be the generational storm we have been looking for. Notice that even with the Low off the Coast of Virgina by this point, it's still snowing hard for eastern SC and NC,so these clown maps are nowhere near finshed for many areas. This really has the makings of a major storm, especially for Raleigh and points eastward towards NE North Carolina and SE Virgina.
Stormsfury
Member
I remember the March 1980 storm. 1.9" fell at Charleston and it was followed by the all time record low March temp of 15 degrees.
The NAM currently has an almost 1980 like look, just that this current potential may be ingesting some steroids earlier...
- Joined
- Jan 23, 2021
- Messages
- 3,895
- Reaction score
- 12,297
- Location
- Lebanon Township, Durham County NC
Going to hammer this home:
Just like the last storm, we’re going to be efficient with accumulations because we’re leading up with cold wx
Just like the last storm, we’re going to be efficient with accumulations because we’re leading up with cold wx
Interestingly enough the Jan 2000 storm came during a period of 3 or so weeks of significant cold and storm activity then after the storm about a week later was in the 70s I believe and they started the winter out with record breaking warmth as well… weird history repeating type stuff but still just an interesting thing to note
Jessy89
Member
No not with the low developing off the Carolina coast. For it to work out for Pickens county west we need the low to develop in the gulf.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Just wait till tomorrow.
Cary_Snow95
Member
That NAM run… honestly shocked it didn’t close off. If it had gone 6 hours further it probably would have
So close to just bombing in and riding out of the gulf. Not pulling for coastal low transfer out of the gulf. For folks back west we want it to deepen as soon as possible. Full on Miller A. ENC can get away with a bombing coastal. We cannot. Great looking piece of energy though. You don’t get these very often.
Hmmmm
- Joined
- Jan 23, 2021
- Messages
- 3,895
- Reaction score
- 12,297
- Location
- Lebanon Township, Durham County NC
This is fixing to occlude into a comma head
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
We could easily trend it to the 2000 storm. That is like one tick away. Interesting. It’s only the NAM. Everyone say it with me! It’s only the NAM. It’s only the NAM. It’s only the NAM.
Clem282340
Member
I still believe we will get something from it
Couple of differences of note....1) Shortwave over MN & Dakotas is probably helping to add some negative tilt to the storm wave in the SE, and 2) ridging into Jersey and PA is helping to slow down the storm wave
Regardless, we are seeing some good trends fo sho
Icon taking the baby step route in improving 
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
Very tight gradient over Forsyth County, too. We will both be on the edgeIs this what y’all call Nam’d? I think I got it. I got different colors than y’all……
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
This is true. We saw it last week not showing a surface reflection in area of western NC and SC upstate that did see some light snowfall accumulation. Here the dynamics are much stronger and it’s not showing much at all over those same areas. I’m not saying that we should be seeing widespread 6”+ west of I-77 with that look, but with the dynamics in play I would expect a 1-3” widespread if this were to unfold
Yeah, there’s definitely a difference that favors the wave to cutoff and flow into NC in January 2000, but I think the tilting of the wave was very intriguing.