The GFS is colder(atleast at 850 anyway),however it doesn't look too dissimlar to the RGEM. Hopefully both of us can finally get a decent snow event out of this.
The GFS is colder(atleast at 850 anyway),however it doesn't look too dissimlar to the RGEM. Hopefully both of us can finally get a decent snow event out of this.
The REGM and GFS are the best of both worlds. It gives our areas more of a chance to see more snow,but it also protects coastal areas(atleast in North Carolina anyway) from a damaging ice storm by giving them more of a sleet event(even snow in the GFS case) by pushing 850s south. If other models can follow the GFS and the REGM, I think most of us will be quite happy tomorrow. BTW ,I wonder what's casuing the 850s to be pushed futher south each run,even despite of the west trends?This is exactly the kind of trends we want to see, bigger better moisture feed without pushing the warm nose inland, if anything the 850's are moving south reducing ice chances and putting more and more people in the snow....just got to hope this is all real but you got to like where this is headed, its rare we get favorable trends in the 24 hrs leading into the storm...
You need to give these posts a NSFW disclaimerAnd this is the Friday/Sat deal on the GFS...not sure it's right on the overnight stuff but we will see.
I like to look back and see how these verify.
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Lining up very well with the RGEM, and yes as I said earlier I think these higher ratios will play out in areas that see snowfallAnd this is the Friday/Sat deal on the GFS...not sure it's right on the overnight stuff but we will see.
I like to look back and see how these verify.
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Where’s all that precipitation down in the gulf gonna go?is that part of this system?damn, if we keep this up throughout the day clt may see something after all. eastern crowd up to rdu has to be salivating.
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What’s interesting is that even down our way after this main frontal precip moves through, the profiles still indicate some shallow moisture as temperatures are dropping into the mid to upper 20s tomorrow morning… perhaps a set up for some freezing drizzle/mistrap looking snowy for rdu tonight. lays down 1.3" on kuchera maps for wave 1.
Totals from 12z to 18z that day went from like 1.5 to 7These changes is reminding me of 1/17/18, northern stream driven as well
and the current WWAs line very well to what they looked like at this far out before that event.These changes is reminding me of 1/17/18, northern stream driven as well