We’re trending to vodka level cold on almost every global/ensemble
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Pattern Januworry
- Thread starter SD
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Here’s what the ZR did to the roads later that day as she was pulling out. Ice covered roads for 5 or so days after that.
Round Oak Weather
Member
That storm was great. I was young and didn’t know anything about tracking storms but I woke up and had 2 inches of snow, sleet, and freezing rain. It’s the only time I’ve ever seen a plow have to plow our roads.
Brent
Member
That was a good winter here. A few weeks later was the blizzard to start February ?
Unfortunately I was not here of course
It Can work as confluence/help with CAA !! But can also mean ots. Although that SE can block seems weird, normally you see lower heights under a -NAO off the coast not a weird SE can block, strange look
Yeah, that was somewhat tongue in cheek...usually we are staring at some atlantic ridge that's inevitable going to shove anything NW.
The 2011 storm was epic!
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This is a totally workable look, need digging with that SW around the GLs, definitely far more potential in this pattern than any this winter 
I’d almost bet that western ridge is way undermodeled with that big Aleutian low there.
Phase that energy over Idaho and that ULL over the Baja and that is great for a one two punch with the second being a big overrunning event.We can work with this
P
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Cad Wedge NC
Member
Had 23 at the house this morning. 2nd coldest morning so far. Had a low of 22 a few weeks ago.
I’m loving this pattern change and am very much looking forward to the next 2+ weeks weatherwise with lots of robust strolls! That having been said, some folks might not like the 12Z EPS quite as much as the 0Z for understandable reasons.
ATLwxfan
Member
Man this pattern is ripe
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NoSnowATL
Member
smast16
Member
It's not good for the ol' heat pump, thats for sure! Those Aux heat strips gonna be running wild!
Ron Burgundy
Member
We ATL folks are owed this. ?
Current MJO: 
As I just posted, the 12Z EPS looks better than the 0Z late. Regardless, the next two weeks look like fun times (chilly overall with decent chances of wintry precip in mainly more favored parts of the SE (not here lol). After that, the main concern is the possibility of the western +PNA ridge retrograding back into the E Pacific and ending the +PNA by late this month. That’s what models are suggesting. Even so, I’d have hope for the +PNA to return in Feb depending largely on the MJO.
NoSnowATL
Member
Perfect
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Currently am working towards getting a map together of the snow event that ended early-mid day yesterday in NC. In the meantime, I was able to put together this map of a trace sleet event that occurred on December 21st over the SW piedmont of NC. Most of these reports are from mPING & this forum
That’s a great look I’d expect a better snow mean imo tho, but the overall look at H5 is there 
Good job
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Enjoy this while it lasts, pacific jet is going to be full scale retreat after mid-month. Only a matter of time before the -PNA comes back
Ain’t have crap in Spartanburg. All the sleet mpings were Greenville county
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Most of that Atlanta and south is sleet and then turning to rain before ending. Still very far out and the overall pattern is all that's important right now.
Thanks for the work you do but I can confirm none of southern Meck county saw a trace. Maybe a min of mixed sleet. No biggie just commenting
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
A trace of snow or sleet is any snow or sleet that falls but does not stick to the ground. That includes a rain/sleet mix.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Duly noted. Here's SC for the same system. Rain mixed w/ sleet near the state line in the morning hours.
Jessy89
Member
I never saw that sleet in Pickens county not sure how I missed it
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I saw mPING report there in the wee hours of the morning, likely when most were asleep. Seemed legitimate given what happened immediately downstream
I will say, I may have been hallucinating but I thought I got a couple of pingers around 6am or so. Probably hallucinating
That wouldn’t be surprising. In the meantime, I’m going to thoroughly enjoy the next 2 1/2 weeks or so wx wise (it is such a relief) and hope that we get another round of this starting in early or mid February even though La Niña climo doesn’t favor it. Maybe by then we can get a renewed -NAO/-AO combo along with another period of left side MJO.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
NAO/AO are almost certainly going to be positive for the foreseeable future, but that probably won't hinder opportunities much the next few weeks.
NoSnowATL
Member
Good thread to read if y’all have time.
You got it dude
Weenie 12Z CFS time: has 7 Arctic highs giving cold periods over the SE through the end of the run (Feb 5th). So, cooldowns followed by warmups etc but with no extended torchy periods, even during 1/20-2/5, which actually averages slightly BN. Plenty of Gulf/coastal Atlantic storminess including some Miller A action. IF this were to be close to reality, I don’t think there’d be too many complaints.
Here are a couple of highlights for your entertainment:
Here are a couple of highlights for your entertainment:
NoSnowATL
Member
So we have one around the 15th and then again 2 weeks later. Nice!