In that setup on the euro? Yes. Still a good amount to iron out though. More phasing means less/no snow, more separation or attempting to cut off the trailer/srn stream may mean more snow.
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Pattern Januworry
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Ron Burgundy
Member
Congrats Carrollton!
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
At least we got something to track now
Snowman63
Member
Broken024
Member
Euro looks better than GFS at day 10 (I think).
Ron Burgundy
Member
From FFC’s overnight AFD. Be interesting to see if the 12Z runs make them more bullish on the snow potential in this afternoon’s disco:
GFS and EURO 0Z runs both show another shortwave kicking in over the
top of this cold front on Sunday and developing another low along
it. Timing and placement of this will be key, and will definitely
want to see it in place across a few more runs before buying in, but
this could keep enough moisture in place over the top of the cold
front to allow for some light winter precipitation over portions of
north GA. Have decided to add some very light snow and rain snow mix
and Sunday night as a result. Will continue to access through the
week, as there are many small adjustments to the players in this
scenario that could drastically change the forecast. Either way,
this cold front would finally bring an end to our run of record or
near record temps, and as stated above, would finally bring some
more seasonable air and subfreezing temperatures into the area.
Lusk
GFS and EURO 0Z runs both show another shortwave kicking in over the
top of this cold front on Sunday and developing another low along
it. Timing and placement of this will be key, and will definitely
want to see it in place across a few more runs before buying in, but
this could keep enough moisture in place over the top of the cold
front to allow for some light winter precipitation over portions of
north GA. Have decided to add some very light snow and rain snow mix
and Sunday night as a result. Will continue to access through the
week, as there are many small adjustments to the players in this
scenario that could drastically change the forecast. Either way,
this cold front would finally bring an end to our run of record or
near record temps, and as stated above, would finally bring some
more seasonable air and subfreezing temperatures into the area.
Lusk
Yes definitely. The Pac ridge is being cutoff and pushed north. As Webber has stated anything but where it is now is an improvement.
Prestige Worldwide
Member
Maybe this will come to fruition
Broken024
Member
Well ---- GFS. All in on euro then.
Both look pretty crappy, tbh. GFS probably supports more CAD than the Euro. Hopefully, they are both in process to transition to something better at that time.
Love the 6 hr time stamp!
Euro literally said i dont know wtf these other guys are predicting but I ain’t seeing none of that
The EURO was also the last to pick up on the "pattern change" the GFS initially showed, FWIW...
Meh
Parker
Member
Of course the EPS sucks in regards to the snow for late weekend. Maybe they’ll come around
Yep that illustrates perfectly that that ridge is our main problem and why we're torching so hard today and the rest of the week.
I think the Euro has a better shot to transition to something better a lot quicker. That GFS run is hideous and looks just like what we have now in the Pac. Like you said this is a very persistent stubborn pattern and will be hard to get out of. Hopefully the GFS proves it's the garbage we think it is and is wrong. But the Euro hasnt been great either.
Avalanche
Member
Pretty big difference in the Npac between the eps and gefs