I see the Atlanta snow shield is still activated. But I’d love for our western folks to score next weekend. That would be a good start to the New Year!GFS still like that system over the weekend for the western Southeast.View attachment 99355View attachment 99363
This la nina is killing us. Remember the past years where we would get a constant +PNA and couldn't buy a negative NAO. During those times we would still score a storm or two; and at least see a cold weather pattern. Right now, the PNA looks to stay negative for the foreseeable future. Trough stays out west and the SER stays in the SE.
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I think folks are trying to be funny on here. Hopefully the later suites get us excited and all of today's nonsense will vanish quickly.If you guys want to discuss sun angle, how cold it needs to be to see snow accumulate, or whatever trivial thing you want to about snow accumulations please feel free to go to whamby with it. 2 recent examples that prove that snow can stick to roads and/or stick to the ground after Feb 15th or a torch month are Feb 2015 and March 2018 imby and I'm sure others have examples as well. Thanks
I suspect we see an Apps runner similar to last February at some point this winter, giving middle and west TN ice or snow.As Michael Clark at BAMWx said in this morning’s video that was posted here, the SER is likely going to be in play for the S and E US for the foreseeable future as it gets colder in the Midwest. How much it will resist the cold is the big question. If it gives way enough, we might get some decent cold dominating at times (just as looks to be the case the latter half of next week). He showed storm tracks in the Ohio Valley based on the SER not giving way. But even with that, I’d think Carolina (and maybe N GA) CAD regions could get lucky with some ZR. A classic Miller A Gulf snow storm type track doesn’t appear likely as long as the SER fights though.
Yeah, I'm not giving up. That's a lot of cold air to our NW. We just need a good CAD setup. Don't think miller A type storms are going to be available --> except maybe if we do get that mid-winter (short term) flip or an early March miracle when the overall pattern starts relaxing.As Michael Clark at BAMWx said in this morning’s video that was posted here, the SER is likely going to be in play for the S and E US for the foreseeable future as it gets colder in the Midwest. How much it will resist the cold is the big question. If it gives way enough, we might get some decent cold dominating at times (just as looks to be the case the latter half of next week). He showed storm tracks in the Ohio Valley based on the SER not giving way. But even with that, I’d think Carolina (and maybe N GA) CAD regions could get lucky with some ZR. A classic Miller A Gulf snow storm type track doesn’t appear likely as long as the SER fights though.
Hopefully the 0Z warmer GEFS/EPS trends will reverse here at 12Z. Fingers crossed!
I want to see some bubbly cumulonimbusI hope we at least get severe weather with these trends … a warm rain would just be boring
We’re going to eventually get CAD
This has shown up for 2 runs in a row for this upcoming Sunday so there’s that.What is it about the upcoming pattern that looks good to you that would support a genuinely cold and snowy pattern in the SE? What evidence is there to conclude that such a pattern will actually materialize beyond a brief cold shot?
Your winter was never in doubt my friend. Enjoy because you will always have more then us.