• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern Januworry

Ollie Williams said:
We don’t need a 50/50 low to get big snow. January 2000 had a ridge in the exact same place. The only difference is that that there was a trough that dug down over MN that supplied the cold air.
Click to expand...
I think it all depends on your location. Deep South needs more then NC/ upper AL and TN.
 
Ollie Williams said:
We don’t need a 50/50 low to get big snow. January 2000 had a ridge in the exact same place. The only difference is that that there was a trough that dug down over MN that supplied the cold air.
Click to expand...

WAR is not ideal, hurts keeping storms south and makes the nw trend worse imo. That said when we score, it's usually in spite of it because we have a big tall western ridge that helps keep energy south. So the modeled pattern ahead could certainly work imo. Would be great if we could keep a split flow during this time to get southern energy involved. If not we're depending on northern stream energy digging waaaaay south. So, not perfect but pretty good and workable I believe, and the usual way we score the last 10 years.
 
RGEM has a little ZL or light ZR around here tonight. Probably warms enough to not be an issue but if light precip returns quick enough after some good cooling, could see a very light glaze (seen it before).
 
I like how the GSP disc ends this morning.

Very dry and cold conditions may develop behind the cold
front by day 7 as model guidance continue to slide an Arctic High
(~1040+ mb) from Canada into the Midwest region by hour 180 of the
forecast with lots of cold air pumping into the region. A lot more
questions than answers at this time, but the January air should
remain in place through much of the extended and potentially beyond.
 
Oh my :cool:
gfs_z500a_namer_52.png
 
I could see a January’11 type storm out of this pattern
 
Tarheel1 said:
I could see a January’11 type storm out of this pattern
Click to expand...
That is the exact storm I thought of yesterday after watching the pattern being modeled. That was a true storm. Ended up with around 7.5" with a good glaze of freezing rain over top at the end of the storm. I remember the snow sticking around most of the week as it got pretty cold afterwards as well.
 
1641317867481.png
I think there is potential here as well, i mentioned this yesterday that we just need the trough axis to tend further west to allow some energy to ride underneath it. The trend continued today. Better chance for eastern areas, of course.
 
Stormdoc said:
View attachment 101788
I think there is potential here as well, i mentioned this yesterday that we just need the trough axis to tend further west to allow some energy to ride underneath it. The trend continued today. Better chance for eastern areas, of course.
Click to expand...
This is actually a great potential. That low is going to trend NW at some point, they always do. Right now every model has deep cold air during this time frame. I think oddly enough the I85 and south crew could trend this into a potential storm.
 
iGRXY said:
That is the exact storm I thought of yesterday after watching the pattern being modeled. That was a true storm. Ended up with around 7.5" with a good glaze of freezing rain over top at the end of the storm. I remember the snow sticking around most of the week as it got pretty cold afterwards as well.
Click to expand...
Best ratios I’ve ever seen around here. I could scoop it up in the palm of my hand and blow every grain of snow out of it. My old shep here 11 years ago. We had an epic Jeb walk that morning.FF738205-5457-4895-869A-A21849CE3515.jpeg
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Best ratios I’ve ever seen around here. I could scoop it up in the palm of my hand and blow every grain of snow out of it. My old shep here 11 years ago. We had an epic Jeb walk that morning.View attachment 101789
Click to expand...
First time Bausch and Lomb ever closed for snow and I had been there 11 years! Closed 2 days, think it was a Monday and Tuesday! Storm hit Sunday night, if I recall
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top