Tropical Hurricane Ida

[Tornadocane]

Latest Pass: 982.3

Ida (2021) - HDOB - Atlantic AF Miss. 9 - Tropical Atlantic

View decoded High-Density Observations (HDOB) available for Ida in 2021 from Air Force mission 9 in the North Atlantic basin.

tropicalatlantic.com

 

[Downeastnc]

pressure looks down a bit on that last center fix.....but still not seeing it reflected in the surface winds yet....

 

[Tornadocane]

Noaa3 has flight level winds of 81 Knots; Surface of 67 Knots

Ida (2021) - HDOB - Atlantic NOAA Miss. 8 - Tropical Atlantic

View decoded High-Density Observations (HDOB) available for Ida in 2021 from NOAA mission 8 in the North Atlantic basin.

tropicalatlantic.com

 

[HSVweather]

Think I see an eye forming at 25N

https://cdn.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES16/ABI/MESO/25N-86W/03/2000x2000.jpg

 

[accu35]

Shifted west


View attachment 89471

It's focusing on just west or near NOLA it seems. I bet it take the right side of the model Guidance because the northern movement atm. I just don't see a west NOLA landfall but I can be wrong.

 

[Snowfan]

Eye starting to clear out.

 

[accu35]

Eye is clearing

 

[HSVweather]

 

[Henry2326]

 

[Cary_Snow95]

We have an eye

 

[NorthDFWwx]

Hopefully, we don't have a repeat of Houston with Rita.

 

[Avalanche]

What are you guys thinking, 125mph at landfall?

 

[Cary_Snow95]

What are you guys thinking, 125mph at landfall?

I’m going 145

 

[Snowfan]

BULLETIN
Hurricane Ida Advisory Number 9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092021
1000 AM CDT Sat Aug 28 2021

...IDA EXPECTED TO BEGIN RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING SOON...
...PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION TODAY IN THE WARNING AREA ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.8N 86.1W
ABOUT 350 MI...565 KM SSE OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 435 MI...700 KM SE OF HOUMA LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...984 MB...29.06 INCHES

Pressure down to 984 mb.

 

[Avalanche]

I’m going 145

Hopefully it will run out of Gulf for that to happen. Another 24h over water to strengthen, which is enough.

 

[NoSnowATL]

What are you guys thinking, 125mph at landfall?

115-125 is my guess.

 

[Henry2326]

What are you guys thinking, 125mph at landfall?

It will be interesting to see if NHC moves off of 140 at the next discussion.

 

[Snowfan]

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 28.0N 89.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 15SW 25NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 29.4N 91.0W...NEAR COAST OF LOUISIANA
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 30NW.
50 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE 80SW 100NW.

Peak forecast down to 130 mph

 

[NoSnowATL]

It will be interesting to see if NHC moves off of 140 at the next discussion.

The guidance TWC has been showing all morning doesn’t have it higher the 115mph.

 

[Henry2326]

It will be interesting to see if NHC moves off of 140 at the next discussion.

NHC just went to 130.