That sfc cape thoGoodness freaking gracious. This is for central GA. The tornado threat that afternoon is dependent on how much low level winds veer. However this is window smashers to a tee! Look at the LIs and 0-3km cape!
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Ya that might hurt. I have been noticing the winds veering a little more each run as well.Goodness freaking gracious. This is for central GA. The tornado threat that afternoon is dependent on how much low level winds veer. However this is window smashers to a tee! Look at the LIs and 0-3km cape!
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Should I be scared of the relative helictites like that ... that just seems so extreme hahaha what does that stuff meanThat’s a really interesting look on the NAM would favor more tornadic stuff further east as the best speed shear in the low levels/SRH are further east View attachment 82157View attachment 82158View attachment 82159View attachment 82160View attachment 82161
Doesn't mean a ton if storms aren't sfc based tbhShould I be scared of the relative helictites like that ... that just seems so extreme hahaha what does that stuff mean
Basically SRH helicity is the amount of spin in the atmosphere. One of the key ingredients for supercells which produce almost all severe weather. And you need surface based instability/storms to have tornadoes I'm not sure about hail and winds though.Should I be scared of the relative helictites like that ... that just seems so extreme hahaha what does that stuff mean
ALSO of note you need a good chunk of instability to go along with high helicty to maintain anything. Or you'll just have the updraft tore apart. Aka winter tornadoes.Basically SRH helicity is the amount of spin in the atmosphere. One of the key ingredients for supercells which produce almost all severe weather. And you need surface based instability/storms to have tornadoes I'm not sure about hail and winds though.
Guessing the line for elevated storms to risk of severe is how far the the warm front makes.Here would be some early thoughts
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YesGuessing the line for elevated storms to risk of severe is how far the the warm front makes.
Just saw the 18z 12k. Oof size megaThat’s a really interesting look on the NAM would favor more tornadic stuff further east as the best speed shear in the low levels/SRH are further east View attachment 82157View attachment 82158View attachment 82159View attachment 82160View attachment 82161
Almost looked as if a little MCS tried to get going along the boundary of instability (essentially the warm front) that moves through SC and some of souther central NC and eastern NC .. interestingView attachment 82164
Get the sun out midday Saturday into the afternoon and it gets a little rough in Eastern NC and parts of SC. Even taking the 18z 12k literally you would likely have a couple supercell like storms riding near the sfc low
Ya SPC mentioned that in the disco as well.Cant see instability due to weather.us not working right this morning, but Euro actually looks rougher than the past few days across south AL/GA wind field wise.