DoneCan the dates on this thread be extended to include 4/23?
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DoneCan the dates on this thread be extended to include 4/23?
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Ya that run was a bit nasty for sure.That nam run was nasty even gets things going up here lol
Ya looks kind of nastyThat sounding. Wow.
What's your prognosis arcc? I enjoy your insight, on weather events. Any events in the past for the far south that come to mind?I hate that they paywalled Euro and UKMet soundings, but the 12z UKMet looked pretty nasty.
What's your prognosis arcc? I enjoy your insight, on weather events. Any events in the past for the far south that come to mind?
I agreee. I could see a MDT for MGM to MCN southStill like 3/03/19 and 3/15/08 but I’ll throw 4/19/20 in there as well. Fro had a good point days ago when he said about dew points not getting far north in setups like this and I agree. Also areas at and within 100 miles north of the GOM seem to get the worst of these events. Right now I definitely see a hatched Enhanced possibly moderate for south East AL and most of south GA.
You think this cape and instability will continue to rise towards NC later in the day? It looks like instability is moving rapidly in that direction but I also see it getting later in the day so i dont know if That would stop itI think you were spot on with your original outline of the riskiest area arcc. It's kindve worrying the gigantic swath of area with high parameters it looks like most everybody in this forum will have a chance at decent severe weather.View attachment 82152View attachment 82153View attachment 82154View attachment 82155
If the LLJ is very strong then moisture transport shouldn't be too much of a problem. But I'm not that smart when it comes to this stuff lol. I only really know alabama setups. You'd have to ask Fro guy he knows that area I thinkYou think this cape and instability will continue to rise towards NC later in the day? It looks like instability is moving rapidly in that direction but I also see it getting later in the day so i dont know if That would stop it