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Pattern Muddy March 2021

Wednesday looks like a picture perfect day, still gonna be some mud around but looks like most of us in central nc will reach well into the 60s, with folks south of the Triangle probably reaching the 70s. Excited for it.

It feels good when something you actually want pans out as progged. Refreshing really. We get the warm but can we just get the dry?


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Basically three warm days after 2 CADed days then a trough swings through to our NE ? I’ll take it
Overall warmer trends on the models in the medium range but getting colder around day 7+7D222028-7E7E-439E-87F8-5497C034C59E.png9A1F9EC4-37CF-4CF1-BD91-E0A50AF1F398.pngE17CB894-983B-491E-BB3B-5A6EB66F38C4.png
 
I’m sorry but a 486 dm TPV in the NE ?? not happening, and we wonder why the GFS loves to throw fantasy storms EEFEB691-DF8D-4EE0-AFBD-7E643E83ACC9.pngV16 actually has a clue F3830B6E-9CFE-40CB-A838-DC2042520C7E.png
 
Sucks that the Canada vortex moves out so fast, we find ways to fail each and everytime ? no sort of blocking prior that TPV digging in 2EA88C46-EFBC-4776-9D2B-C0D8447684D4.png
 
This just proves how much heights around SE Canada matter for us East of the mountains, even with a weaker ridge overall, it was much warmer because heights were higher around there, this doesn’t look long lived tho unfortunately DAD3AF4B-F38C-469E-BF20-27D2E7AFE580.png
 
EURO at 12z really got rid of all that trough dumping in the west .. for warm lovers probably not the best thing to see .. cold lovers ?
This run was actually better for warmth in the medium range given days backed off on CAD but the trough is trending faster which is bringing in cooler weather afterwards quicker, it’s a win win for both sides
 
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