Wow I guess La Niña influence is really starting to do its job, CMC was much warmer this run 
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Pattern Muddy March 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Euro as well, CADish look but still 
SER go crazy 
That's a great look. Really hoping that SoCal can score some more rain before fire season begins. They are way behind in regards to rainfall.
It’ll be interesting to see if the EPS follows in this direction. That’s a pretty wild run to run swing for the Euro. Obviously the higher heights over SE Canada are the key. It would be nice to see this hold... it’s been pretty nice driving with the sun roof open the last two days
Yeah it’s quite a big difference this run, while some late season snow would be fun, this warmth right now is awesome, even with the type of day I’ve had, it’s put me in a great mood still
Euro still building in that pattern interestingly with stronger ridging near Greenland, but a much much warmer run for the edge of the medium range 
i dont know if this is a warm pattern per say.... look at the -NAO coming back with vengeance ? almost like it’s got something to prove
Yeah but this run is much much warmer in the medium range (not long range) now after hour 210 it has a impressive -NAO building in
Avalanche
Member
Except for Chatham Co. NC. We need 25 and rain to ice things up.
Consider yourself lucky.
ATLwxfan
Member
I like how the cad looks are all trending warmer. I’m hopeful the Greenland block is a mirage and things trend better in time. After and entire winter of runs that seem to trend worse with time we are finally getting things to trend favorably (well at least for those of us read for warmth).
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I could honestly see things playing out the next couple weeks very similar to what the Euro showed on that run. Quite warm through about 3/3,3/4 timeframe and then a cold push after that. The teleconnections have been hinting at the NAO dipping back negative again around that time and while its still slightly positive, the AO is still not positive enough to cut off cold air coming down. Now while any cold shot coming in after this warm spell is not likely to produce winter weather, the idea can’t be dismissed. The big March winter storms that have affected the Carolinas (1927, 1971, 1983, 1993) were preceded within 3 or 4 days by very mild temperatures.
Yes 
Confirmed!
Great call!
please, let’s just end it all 
Yeah then we can get a random freeze later in the month or early April that's damaging to Ag
Where did this come from ? SER came out of nowhere 
Yikes no wonder there’s no talk in here .. my suspicions of a random upper low situation might be coming to fruition
V16/Euro combo is becoming a legit thing now, these 2 seem to match much more often 
Went from this 
To this
To this
More -NAO and that 50/50 is going bozonkers .. I see where this is headed
Towards a CAD then another torch, SER keeps trending stronger, need a block over Baffin Bay not a TPV
Epic changes to yet more SERing 
Delayed but not denied 
If true, this is shown to be only short-lived.
Yep, huge WAR slowing it down but Other then that less -NAO on the euro, and just a horrific pacific
In the medium range we’re trending towards more ridging which is making me skeptical of that look on the LR euro (keeps getting pushed back)
Cold rain CAD look for the Carolinas tho unless we weaken the Atlantic Canada vortex or strengthen the system back west more
Cold rain CAD look for the Carolinas tho unless we weaken the Atlantic Canada vortex or strengthen the system back west more
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NCSNOW
Member
GFS says Spring is only a week away
ATLwxfan
Member
Umm. It’s here now. A brief cad friday and then early May weather.
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Looks like there are a couple of massive ensemble spread periods coming up. Should be interesting to watch nina climo vs another -nao attempt.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I wouldn't say May early weather. Temps look to be seasonable, if not below normal especially in CAD area's. Of course things could change but I still have a hunch that March will end up being seasonable if not below average at times.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The weather today is literally perfect, couldn’t ask for more. Car thermometer was at 65F earlier, no wind, not a cloud in the sky and low humidity plus no bugs.
Really straddling a fine line in this type of look
Correct you are!!! I’m working a half day and there is a golf course calling my name
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Today is probably the last nice day around here for a long time & I'm doing my best to enjoy it. 9 of the next 10 days thru the first week of March have a chance of rain. My ditches are still half full even after these few dry days we had, can't take anymore rain, it would be nice to have an extended stretch of dry weather for a couple weeks. We could literally go the entire month of March w/o a drop of rain here and we'd still have above average year-to-date rainfall going into April.
Smh
Smh