Pattern Muddy March 2021

[Myfrotho704_]

Watch this View attachment 76550
Become this View attachment 76551View attachment 76552

...

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

If we don’t come out this winter without one SEMI SUCCESSFUL CAD event .. I quit till 06z

 

[ATLwxfan]

Wednesday looks like a picture perfect day, still gonna be some mud around but looks like most of us in central nc will reach well into the 60s, with folks south of the Triangle probably reaching the 70s. Excited for it.

It feels good when something you actually want pans out as progged. Refreshing really. We get the warm but can we just get the dry?


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[Ollie Williams]

We're getting to a point in climo where we have to worry about temps. The wave orientation is fools gold with a resemblance of February 2004, and December 2018. The big caveat would be the major +WPO similar to last December which will struggle to keep things cold enough.

 

[SD]

Are the eps and gefs really that different post day 10?

 

[Tarheel1]

Heat wave

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Heat waveView attachment 76737

That’s pretty weak sauce, 65 today, 70 tomorrow here

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Heat waveView attachment 76737

60% chance of rain with a high of 29? I’m skeptical

 

[Tarheel1]

That’s pretty weak sauce, 65 today, 70 tomorrow here

A few years ago, it was 78 degrees on yesterday’s date! How impossible does that even sound up here in Feb

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Basically three warm days after 2 CADed days then a trough swings through to our NE ? I’ll take it
Overall warmer trends on the models in the medium range but getting colder around day 7+

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I’m sorry but a 486 dm TPV in the NE ?? not happening, and we wonder why the GFS loves to throw fantasy storms V16 actually has a clue

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I’m sorry but a 486 dm TPV in the NE ?? not happening, and we wonder why the GFS loves to throw fantasy storms View attachment 76741V16 actually has a clue View attachment 76742

???

 

[Myfrotho704_]

??

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Another ? gotta admit that H5 look is ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Sucks that the Canada vortex moves out so fast, we find ways to fail each and everytime ? no sort of blocking prior that TPV digging in

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Bye bye Wudge ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This just proves how much heights around SE Canada matter for us East of the mountains, even with a weaker ridge overall, it was much warmer because heights were higher around there, this doesn’t look long lived tho unfortunately

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

EURO at 12z really got rid of all that trough dumping in the west .. for warm lovers probably not the best thing to see .. cold lovers ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

EURO at 12z really got rid of all that trough dumping in the west .. for warm lovers probably not the best thing to see .. cold lovers ?

This run was actually better for warmth in the medium range given days backed off on CAD but the trough is trending faster which is bringing in cooler weather afterwards quicker, it’s a win win for both sides

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Nice weather we’re having today Dave ? at least not 33 and rain