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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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WeatherWatch said:
New 12z GFS ENS spaghetti plot
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Okay these SW trends need to stop...
 
I'm not sure how far west this can go, seems like that trough is going to be there so there is the weakness for it turn north at some point.... I just doubt this goes into GOM and if it did more like a NE gulf coast type of hit, or ride the spine of Fl, just my pure speculation/guess at this point. I still think Fl to NC is highest likely hood as of now....
 
Storm5 said:
One thing to notice on the ensembles is the post landfall tracks. Starting to see many tracks bend to the W/NW showing the building ridge over top

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With the ridge building over top, that's even more bad news. That means Irma could move slowly once inland or stall out which would mean significant flooding.

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HR96 its JUST NE of the DR.....moving WMW and the trof looks like its pushing out and the ATL ridge is building W'ward
 
We will be activating the live thread updates for our members later today meaning you don't have to refresh the page to get the latest posts. It will update in real time. We've had an enormous amount of guest traffic over the last 5 hours. If your a quest take 30 seconds to sign up so you don't miss out

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Storm5 said:
We will be activating the live thread updates for our members later today meaning you don't have to refresh the page to get the latest posts. It will update in real time. We've had an enormous amount of guest traffic over the last 5 hours. If your a quest take 30 seconds to sign up so you don't miss out

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... and if I may be so bold ... with all the good stuff here being provided gratis, a donation or two would not be out of the question or uncalled for ... :cool:
 
The further south it goes the more likely it is to hit land or interact with land and weaken it significantly before it would have any impacts with the US right ?
 
SoutheastRidge said:
The further south it goes the more likely it is to hit land or interact with land and weaken it significantly before it would have any impacts with the US right ?
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If it hits Hispaniola and Cuba, it could get shredded apart, yes, but that puts it in the Gulf, and the Gulf = extreme development.
 
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