BelmontWX79
Member
The model or what it shows?
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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th
- Thread starter deltadog03
- Start date
JLL1973
Member
gfs dumping the brutal cold west again. This model is all over the place
What it shows.
LickWx
Member
Fair enough lol, till the ICON begins that trend though it’s noise !
I love my dumps out west 
Jessy89
Member
Gfs is pretty dramatic with its changes. At this point it’s useless. Euro probably at least has the right idea
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packfan98
Moderator
No shortage of precip. Looks like just about the entire SE is good for 2” or more over the next week. ?
Globals really struggling on the extent of that Arctic boundary.. and don’t expect it to be figured out any time soon
iGRXY
Member
GFS is garbage. Not because of the warmer look but because it flips temps by as much as 20 degrees between runs even in the short to medium range. Get this model the hell out of here already.
None of them have the right idea.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
The 12 is likely too cold, but I bet there probably has been times where the western SE has been much colder than the eastern SE. It's easier to get the cold there.
Also, most likely no model knows for sure how to handle this arctic boundary anyway.
Move damnit 
What even is this?
S.O.A.B 
Miller Lite transfer
D
Deleted member 609
Guest
Cold rain sir
Interesting trend with that low..
SnowNiner
Member
My expectation is a repeat of last week on the models. They try to move the PV along, but it keeps hanging out/dumping the trough west and the SE ridge remains on the east. GFS picked it up quick and Euro went to it. I think that'll happen again IMO.
ATLwxfan
Member
Not unheard of when you have a PV and a SER battling it out.
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lmao
So our elusive TFV sets up shop in the vicinity of Minnesota Friday morning and meanders SE and is still in the area until it opens up and scoots east Monday LOL.
D
Deleted member 609
Guest
the wedge is going the wrong way
Jessy89
Member
I could see that ending up as a north of 85 snow event again
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LickWx
Member
Check out my whamby post . Yesterday was 50 here , 1 week ago it had 18 as the high here for Sunday !
Well think about it..... put the Euro’s high there and most of GA is pink purple and blue. I also think the euro track would be similar to gfs there.
Stormsfury
Member
Tarheel1
I TOLD YALL IT WASN’T GOING TO SNOW
Member
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Anytime you can go into spring and summer wet, it’s a win! Especially La Niña summers can be very Shetley like!
Still a LOT of model disagreement with how to handle that TPV even a day 5 now that the happy hour GFS decided to slow down its eastward motion dramatically. I thought we had a better handle on things with the general agreement at 12Z.
back in the days CAD wedges used to effect WNC, now they go to Wilmington 
That's the kind of changes to be expected on day 7 and beyond. Not 4-5 days out. I swear, it'd be better for our sanity to just look at the NAM and RGEM models and forget anything beyond.
I’ll always take my chances with a big high pressure dominating the states. That’s arguably 75% of the battle.
We see this often in the LR. The American model loves fake coastal wedges for some reason.
Jessy89
Member
I would imagine the GEFS will have some good hits on it
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ATLwxfan
Member
Emerging consensus on a sharp SER shielding Georgia from the PV.
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Ron Burgundy
Member
It’s getting kind of embarrassing. Like, as an American...
for the CAD setup, many members show something, even with H5 looking worse 
GEFS looks colder then it’s OP 
