Shadow of the Apps
Member
What are the DP showing for this time frame?
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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th
- Thread starter deltadog03
- Start date
It’s a strange setup, CAD pushes in at the same time during the precip, in backdoor fashion...
It’s kinda funny reading GSP’s afternoon discussion. Even though they have rain/snow in the forecast grids for Saturday and Sunday, they didn’t really put any details in the discussion
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So do we need to pull Thursday/ Friday out of this thread and give it it's own
Another trend to the east on the ICON.
Nope
Welp. RIP. That’s a rare signal.
Haven't looked close, but I think sometimes the high pressures are trying to weaken/move away and can give the illusion a low is trying to cut "into it".. when really a couple frames later, the high is no longer buckled in. Not sure about this time.. just a note from previous times.
Geez I wonder why there’s no talk about king icon, it was about to dump this TPV on us lol 
Isn’t this almost the original look we had days ago ? 
I would think this SE shift keeps hope alive for more snow vs the lights out ice scenario.
Downeastnc
Member
18Z ICON is very close Fri/Sat in NC
Have to love it. With that TPV further east and more separation from those two shortwaves bracketing Mexico that maps just screams incoming! Not to mention it was a rather close call to something better for the Saturday-Sunday system.
Sorry I was kidding but I got caught up with work. Someone can start it
Showmeyourtds
Member
Some stupid ICE totals from the EURO for the CAD areas of Georgia. I'd have to believe that more of that would fall as sleet with 925s at -5C and temps in the 20's around I-20. Perhaps I'm wrong though.
No your thinking right. Which time frame are you referring to?
Stormsfury
Member
You're not wrong... I was just looking at those parameters. The EURO for lower SC wants to jump temps from 32 to 56 in Charleston in 12 hours from hour 192 to hour 204 which I see as a complete whiff.
The GFS actually locks temps in the low 30s with 0.37" ice accretion in the Charleston Tri County area...
Ron Burgundy
Member
As overdue as our area is for a ZR storm, we’re even more so for a sleetfest. I know we had a moderate one 7 or 8 years ago but the last big one IIRC was Jan 88. Someone correct me if I’m wrong.
almost yes...just a different day for sure.
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iGRXY
Member
850's are scorching so even with cold 925's it might start as sleet but I don't know if it would refreeze into sleet when 850's are almost 43-49 degrees.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Looks like I'm gonna be real busy the next few weeks making snow maps for folks in the Carolinas.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Whoa, I just saw the 12z ECMWF...
Wow that's a truly epic CAD, rarely see 1043s over NY & PA
Wow that's a truly epic CAD, rarely see 1043s over NY & PA
It's about damn time! Hopefully we can all score though. I feel good about those odds too!
TPV trended back west on the 18z
Trash 
Lets hope for a colder trend at the mid levels!!
Ron Burgundy
Member
Dang - almost to the AL border. Usually peters out in the NE Metro ATL area.
You’re focused on the wrong storm Fro! Our storm is out past 200hr ?
Is happy hour GFS trying to pull off a triple phaser?
Wedges
Jessy89
Member
I sorta think sat/sun storm is trying to come back
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LickWx
Member
Don’t discount it , the WAR been sneaking back last 2 runs . Check out my WHAMBY posts . Just saying , don’t get caught blind with your pants down !
Im not saying it’s wrong.... I’m just saying it sucks, lol