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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

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Haven't looked close, but I think sometimes the high pressures are trying to weaken/move away and can give the illusion a low is trying to cut "into it".. when really a couple frames later, the high is no longer buckled in. Not sure about this time.. just a note from previous times.
 
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Another trend to the east on the ICON.
Have to love it. With that TPV further east and more separation from those two shortwaves bracketing Mexico that maps just screams incoming! Not to mention it was a rather close call to something better for the Saturday-Sunday system.
 
Some stupid ICE totals from the EURO for the CAD areas of Georgia. I'd have to believe that more of that would fall as sleet with 925s at -5C and temps in the 20's around I-20. Perhaps I'm wrong though.
No your thinking right. Which time frame are you referring to?
 
Some stupid ICE totals from the EURO for the CAD areas of Georgia. I'd have to believe that more of that would fall as sleet with 925s at -5C and temps in the 20's around I-20. Perhaps I'm wrong though.

You're not wrong... I was just looking at those parameters. The EURO for lower SC wants to jump temps from 32 to 56 in Charleston in 12 hours from hour 192 to hour 204 which I see as a complete whiff.
The GFS actually locks temps in the low 30s with 0.37" ice accretion in the Charleston Tri County area...
 
Some stupid ICE totals from the EURO for the CAD areas of Georgia. I'd have to believe that more of that would fall as sleet with 925s at -5C and temps in the 20's around I-20. Perhaps I'm wrong though.
As overdue as our area is for a ZR storm, we’re even more so for a sleetfest. I know we had a moderate one 7 or 8 years ago but the last big one IIRC was Jan 88. Someone correct me if I’m wrong.
 
Some stupid ICE totals from the EURO for the CAD areas of Georgia. I'd have to believe that more of that would fall as sleet with 925s at -5C and temps in the 20's around I-20. Perhaps I'm wrong though.
850's are scorching so even with cold 925's it might start as sleet but I don't know if it would refreeze into sleet when 850's are almost 43-49 degrees.
 
As overdue as our area is for a ZR storm, we’re even more so for a sleetfest. I know we had a moderate one 7 or 8 years ago but the last big one IIRC was Jan 88. Someone correct me if I’m wrong.
850's are scorching so even with cold 925's it might start as sleet but I don't know if it would refreeze into sleet when 850's are almost 43-49 degrees.
Lets hope for a colder trend at the mid levels!!
 
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