Yeah the GEFS is the definition of delayed but not denied .. many members with big time winter storms even after the initial “storm” hits
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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th
- Thread starter deltadog03
- Start date
Stormlover
Member
and the canadian at the end shows much mischief looming 
I think it’s eventually inevitable someone will have to deal with a big ice storm
All I see that looks good right now is Stuff pushed back around D8-10 like always, but it’s nice to see the cold (at least on the GEFS/GFS sticking around, however they could be to progressive with the TPV (progressive bias)
Based off the looks I’m seeing I think western parts of the SE and CAD areas (NW Piedmont/foothills) are favored for some ice with the king dong storm (yes haha I’m funny) , but you never know we could see some good trends, although seemingly going with the warmest model with the less snow/ice seems to bode well
Based off the looks I’m seeing I think western parts of the SE and CAD areas (NW Piedmont/foothills) are favored for some ice with the king dong storm (yes haha I’m funny) , but you never know we could see some good trends, although seemingly going with the warmest model with the less snow/ice seems to bode well
Well ladies and gents...the good DOC NO is in the house and on the stage.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
I’m tired of this back and forth bullcrap with the TPV. Go way one way or other, this in between nonsense is gonna leave most of us with cold rain. Gimme snow or severe weather
flight to southern Canada to help pull it down? LOL
Lol that NPAC ridge is already stronger with a TPV close to AK more attached, bleep per brick
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Or kick it to the North Pole and straight up Santa’s a**.
Slightly east through hr 54?
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Might sound like a hot take here but if we had a positive NAO, this TPV would have already hauled it east. One thing you notice about the composites I posted several days ago is that a few days before a storm shows up, the NAO goes positive and thus the background flow speeds up, vortex comes east.
We thought 12z was bad, just wait 
??
12z euro vs 00z euro now...notice how the energy NW of BC is backing NW this run even more than vs 12z run
Went from decent to suck to suckage 
Euro looks similar to the Canadian 
Yea this going to be UGLY!!
wow...smdh..we are going to retrograde a freakin' TPV from the NE/GL all the way back to the pac west. holy wth...
maybe we can pull of some severe this run ? 
No need to give up for sure.....but not going to lie...this one is loosing quickly.
Just think the euro is holding to much back, don't see that happening. But anything is possible.
Cmon negative NAO do something fun and cool like suppress the SER outta nowhere
This run might put up a huge SER here soon 
Well that’s interesting, not that it’s doing much but the TPV drops some N/S energy near by 
Jrips2710
Member
Congrats Chicago! Man we suck.
really not much of a SE ridge this run..huge change from last nights run...got to hope something for later next weekend now?
Yeah I thought it would form but the block on top can’t allow a big ol subtropical ridge, I feel like that look on the euro is adjustable.
No cold air in site...SMDH!!!
Thanks DR NO...wow what a joke!!
Cadi40
Member
Well I can only blame myself for falling for the hype... YET AGAIN! When will I ever learn ?
This run was a super slap in the face...wow...we don't even push the front through? talk about being inconsistent!!!
Damn we suck, as the vortex breaks off then it goes 10000000mph under the block and does a dash out the mfer
Montanasnow30
Member
Time is definitely running out that’s why I’ve learned from years back not to jump on anything that’s shows something wintry a week out that’s definitely inconsistent especially when we know a lot will change come verification time smh?
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Jrips2710
Member
More convinced than ever models don’t need to be looked at past days 5-7
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Looks like you’ll become the new Antarctica this week in Montana
John1122
Member
The Euro has been caving often this year. It's showing 3-5 inches in mby tomorrow night and that's a monster cave to GFS/GFSV16. This isn't the first cave from the Euro inside day 3-4 this winter either. Give it 3 or 4 days and see where the EURO is at.