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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021

Webberweather53 said:
Many of the really big snowstorms in the SE US usually feature significant icing somewhere.

Even for the historic Feb 1973 storm where up to 24" fell in Rimini, most places within and just southeast of the heaviest axis of snow like Myrtle Beach, Charleston, & Georgetown, had a big ice storm before the precip changed over to heavy snow.

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This was utter torture for me, I was a total weather weenie. I was 15 in 1973, yes I am old, lol. But just 60 miles south of Atlanta, the cutoff was amazing, although ATL was still reeling from the massive ice storm a month earlier, we were without power for 16 days, it really was not fun after a few days even at my age then.
 
HugeSnowStick said:
This was utter torture for me, I was a total weather weenie. I was 15 in 1973, yes I am old, lol, But just 60 miles south of Atlanta the cutoff was amazing, although ATL was still reeling from the massive ice storm a month earlier, we were without power for 16 days, really was not fun after a few days even at my age then.
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Sounds like pretty much everyone in GA scored that winter. Although I would have much rather had the snow than the ice.
 
Robert West said:
Does anyone remember what day we started seeing the Jan 3rd, 2018 storm emerge? I remember the Euro showed it first. I'd go back and look, but I was seeing if anyone remembered off the top of their head. Seems like it was around Dec 27th
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December 27 sounds right. The ensembles had been hinting at that timeframe, but the Euro started latching onto the idea of a storm. It actually trended SE for a few days and then corrected NW the last 36 hours which is what most systems have been doing this year.
 
HugeSnowStick said:
This was utter torture for me, I was a total weather weenie. I was 15 in 1973, yes I am old, lol. But just 60 miles south of Atlanta, the cutoff was amazing, although ATL was still reeling from the massive ice storm a month earlier, we were without power for 16 days, it really was not fun after a few days even at my age then.
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I was a little boy living in New Orleans for both the 63 and 73 storms. 63 was epic. 73 was only around an inch at my house, but epic nonetheless for N.O. The only forecast tools I had were a thermometer and an AM radio. When the newscaster said it was snowing in Galveston, I knew I had a chance LOL. Was so nice after having just missed a with a couple of 33 and rainstorms there at the time. One of which surely was the massive Atlanta ice storm.
 
So it's looking like we warm up big time before we even get a chance to get cold. Might hit the 70s for a lot of folks. Would sound about right, normally that's the way it works before a major Winter storm around these parts.
 
Robert West said:
So it's looking like we warm up big time before we even get a chance to get cold. Might hit the 70s for a lot of folks. Would sound about right, normally that's the way it works before a major Winter storm around these parts.
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If we can dump out west a bit more then the euro then we could get some solid thunderstorms
 
Robert West said:
So it's looking like we warm up big time before we even get a chance to get cold. Might hit the 70s for a lot of folks. Would sound about right, normally that's the way it works before a major Winter storm around these parts.
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I do recall temps in the 70s and possibly low 80s for a couple days or so, as it was somewhat of a warmer winter than normal in '88-'89, and then we ended up with around 5 to 5 1/2" during a snowstorm in late February of '89.
 
In terms of temperatures the next 10 days, the GFS and the Euro are actually fairly close to each other the progression of things. Both want to surge a lot of mild air on Tuesday out ahead of the cold push and then are pretty close on temps after that. I do tend to doubt that temperatures got as mild as was being shown on Tuesday, simply because we’ve seen warm pushes get muted much of the winter the closer we get to verification, of course I also thought that models were being too extreme a few days ago with showing widespread single digits as well.
 
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