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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Does very well under hour 120 as well
Jessy89
Member
Timing here is everything I think if it moves in before 7am it could be a ok snow
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NCHighCountryWX
Member
- Joined
- Dec 28, 2016
- Messages
- 530
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- 1,458
Remember last storm .. all I’m saying .. v16 was the first to see it and stay with it
Stormlover
Member
new gfs part of the run 
olhausen
Member
Any storms before 12 Years ago are harder to track. But for me at least I take a few pictures on my phone anytime even a few flakes fly so I can easily go back and look at each season and event for my area. The bigger the snow the more pictures I’ll have of that event. I’ve now got pictures on my iPhone of every single snow since 2015 but before that I have too go through some SD cards from the camera. Timehop is also gold if you link it to all your media and photos which it will then show each photo you took on that date once per year. I now have 10 years worth of timehop pictures!
For everyone thinking the GFS long-range fantasy storm is impossible, keep in mind this kind of storm has happened before and will happen again. In 10 days, probably not. But who knows, it just might happen as it did in 1899, 1963, and 1973. Both the GFS and EMCF have the pieces on the table to make it happen, so with a little luck...
Surprised to pull this up and not see a overly strong warm nose 
It's Feb so don't forget about sun angle too
The hot February pavement! It burns my feet!
It’s a weaker low so you don’t see the push of warmer air aloft. I’ve really felt like for the last couple of days that a weaker low could get the job done with this one.
Cold looking attainable. Maybe. Paramount ingredient. Need to strike while the iron is hot. Maybe the most anticipated euro run of the winter on deck.
Jessy89
Member
If this Sunday storm happens it’s February 8th 2020 repeat
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??
Honestly the models (ensembles and at times operationals) have been fairly consistent for the last few days for a storm in the 2/10-14 time range, so odds are there will probably be something around then and with good agreement that Arctic cold is coming south, we just need to hope for good timing. I truly doubt we see what the GFS just showed, but the set up does argue for some significant winter weather to some places that are due.
Texas clipper out of the SW? Lol
Jessy89
Member
New gfs one heck of a ice storm next Friday
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V16 has an awful ice storm ... it’s looking likely the southeast will see an impactful winter storm soon.. ice or snow it Looks to be big .. if we see fantasy’s like this every run .. maybe they aren’t fantasy but warning shots
iGRXY
Member
New GFS has an ice storm on 2/12.
New level of cold
Sheared/suppressed on the ECMWF 
We accept all forms of frozen at this point. Idgaf anymore
The last major Winter event for the KCAE area was in February of 2014. Around Valentines day. Been a while since we've seen the pattern we may be heading towards.
I bet we end up ice. Yep. We are that unlucky here.
I bet we end up ice. Yep. We are that unlucky here.
Jessy89
Member
I’ll take a 3 inches of freezing rain over no frozen precipitation at all. Obviously I hope for snow though
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iGRXY
Member
Looking at the temps on the new GFS. Surprised that wasn't more snow for along and north of 85 as 925's were well below freezing and 850's were right at freezing during the event. Surface temps were in the upper 20's to 30 degrees.
HugeSnowStick
Member
Hello all, Newbie here. I have a question for anyone. What happened to the bitter cold that was supposed to come this weekend? It was on the board even a few days ago, now, it has vaporized...
All forms of frozen accepted in my opinion at this point. I will not be picking. I can hear the sound of pine trees snapping already.
Perfection
iGRXY
Member
Pushed back towards the middle to end of the week.
Looks like we’re gonna have to wait a little bit longer, it’ll eventually progress but that TPV headed towards AK is a pain in the ass 
CDiddy74
Member
Which of these models first picked up on the snow we had in central and northeast NC a couple of weeks ago?
Can we get a thread for the weekend potential to help separate it from the long range talk and the D10ish storm talk? I know the weekend system is no guarantee to produce anything, but there's some potential with it in parts of NC/VA and it might make sense to quarantine the discussion so it’s easier to follow.
The GEFS through the end of the run was awesome!
Damn, Mack took our once was storm 
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Damn, Mack took our once was storm View attachment 70661
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I hope every storm doesn't do that. Tends to happen often
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I hope every storm doesn't do that. Tends to happen often
I don’t really think it was ever forecasted for this weekend either more like Monday/Tuesday arrival pushed to more like Thursday now
That AK TPV just ruins everything 
?