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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021

January 2018 was good for the 85 corridor, first time I've been in the bullseye for snow

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Good call
 
January 2018 was good for the 85 corridor, first time I've been in the bullseye for snow

AL_map.png

Hmm yeah I guess you could make a case to count Jan 16-18 2018. I'm unsure whether to denote it as an overrunning event, even though much of the precip was driven by dCVA aloft and not (modest) warm advection like you traditionally see in those cases.
 
And still under the average snowfall. Still only had one storm with a constant -NAO. And I am not just talking about me, but the pattern overall and what it has produced. Just hope the pattern we get will produce as well as it historically has in the past.
I think we have a good chance or at least a lot better then the last few February’s. Even though I’ve had a lot of little snow events I haven’t had as much as 2 inches from one storm since March of 2018.
 
GFS was seeing an NC/SC storm for Feb 7th back a few days ago. Now seems all the models are seeing some semblance of something to varying degrees but maybe a few days out into the week now and at different times. Tells me we'll get a storm somewhere that week. Just how much and exactly where still remains.

Webb, Miller As are good for Raleigh? I always thought we get too warm in this part of the state for miller-A's typically as they wind up too much.
 
More seperation with this cutoff and N/S trough early on means a more successful wave break in the medium range with a stronger trough which would mean more reinforced -NAO (CMCish like solution) before the big TPV drops downA3508B93-30D6-4DDA-9322-7EB95FA14353.png
 
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