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Pattern Flaming Feb 2021

This is as warm as it gets this day on the Euro......keeps a lot of us under freezing ( hell under 25) for 2 days.......impressive....

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Gonna add some climo perspectives since everyone is going Gaga over barney. The last sub 25 high in rdu for the month of January was in 1988. For the month of February it was in 2015. However, they have happened only 9 times in over 130 years for the month of February . Let alone 2 back to back days .
 
Not to be a Debbie Downer, but normally when we get that cross polar flow with vodka cold, everything is suppressed so far south. It also seems when that cold comes it is a very dry air mass and any QPF that makes it into the area has to saturate the column and we end up seeing virga.
 
Not to be a Debbie Downer, but normally when we get that cross polar flow with vodka cold, everything is suppressed so far south. It also seems when that cold comes it is a very dry air mass and any QPF that makes it into the area has to saturate the column and we end up seeing virga.

it’s a fair point. Much rather have this cold air locked in place though and worry about suppression. Plus we always have our NW trend in the end which will give us room to work with.
 
Not to be a Debbie Downer, but normally when we get that cross polar flow with vodka cold, everything is suppressed so far south. It also seems when that cold comes it is a very dry air mass and any QPF that makes it into the area has to saturate the column and we end up seeing virga.

True which is why I think that first system might have better potential
 
Not to be a Debbie Downer, but normally when we get that cross polar flow with vodka cold, everything is suppressed so far south. It also seems when that cold comes it is a very dry air mass and any QPF that makes it into the area has to saturate the column and we end up seeing virga.
I want oil rigs in the gulf jack potting at 48hr leads.
 
So would these model runs be suggesting a move of the MJO into phase 8?
 
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