Probably
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Wintry Jan 30-Feb 2 2021 ❄️ Potential
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
smast16
Member
Yep. Now if we get to the 0z runs tomorrow night...
Y’all remember the RDPS had these crazy ice totals for the 12/16/2020 icing event as well. Every system is different, but I’m a bit skeptical of this model after that epic fail.
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
For NE GA and parts of the upstate, we need to be sure the dew points are low enough to get the temp under 31 or so when the precip starts. many (if not most) times for this area, we really do not know until the event is literally on the door step. 32 is marginal for decent icing so ideally it gets to the upper 20s. a few degrees makes all the difference and the models generally are not that exact (for n g at least)
iGRXY
Member
Cold air this time around is much more in place with DPs in the teens. Plus we are still in the heart of winter so this one has a much better chance to actually perform.
NCSNOW
Member
6z Euro: See if 12z is as good
Thor
Member
Better UK Run
NCSNOW
Member
12z Canadian is broke on pivotal. major Hit: Ice Triad whole time
Dunkman
Member
I wouldn’t be surprised to see all that Euro and UK snow end up being sleet for most of us. Just keep the ZR away please...
Shaggy
Member
Ugh!
Yeah no thanks. Eastern NC hasnt had that much ice in forever and with weakened trees possibly from the hurricane this year that would be devastating. Yall can keep it
GarnerNC
Member
Damn, supposed to leave cabin in Boone Sunday mid morning, looks like that might be Saturday night now.
CMCE is even colder then last run for the CAD
olhausen
Member
Looks like the 9 millionth flizzard of the season on the back end with this one If it verifies. It’s honestly incredible how many dusting to half inch events I’ve had this season. Yesterday was the 9th event of at least a dusting so far this winter. Never had a winter with this many events and not get at least a 2 inch plus snow. 
Dewpoint Dan
Member
You are going to nickel and dime your way to half a foot ?
packfan98
Moderator
Do you have the precip type panels for the UKMET? Pivotal doesn't have them. Trying to figure out what's going on down here in the CAD areas. Thanks!
iGRXY
Member
Yeah the Canadian Ensembles are way colder. Verbatim it would be a major ice storm in the CAD areas of NC/SC. GSP holds steady at 28-29 degrees for several hours.
iGRXY
Member
I think we are starting to see the trend of temps getting colder the closer we get to the event. Dews have definitely gotten much colder out ahead of the storm.
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Meh. I'm not buying it until the gfs or icon starts snowing it. Icon has been trending a bit warmer
Euro looks worse
Can't help but think we might get a little back side snow
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Have to give it to the GFS. I think it's going to be right
NCSNOW
Member
It was hoovering 31-33 across NC during precip at diff locales . But trying to figure out what goes on in between panels is fools gold. Wish ukmet had a ice map like all other globals
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Wonder if we're starting to see the south shift like we did with today's storm
iGRXY
Member
Yeah looking at globals now that we are 3 days out really isn’t that great. The Euro had me getting all the way up to 74 even the day of the last wedge we got earlier this week.
NCSNOW
Member
12z euro is warmer compared to its 0z. LP is over illinois, HP is 4 mb weaker. On to the next runs. It was lot less icy compared to its 0z and 6z runs from what I saw on other site.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
Lovin this system here in Roanoke, widespread 4-8 maybe more. Haven’t had a storm of this size since dec 2018.
Some EPS members do show some backside snow 
NCSNOW
Member
Myfrotho704. Thanks for the eps and all other stuff you pass along.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Here's my preliminary snowfall map for last night's storm
Now that is pain. Not so much for CLT as we knew we were going to get blanked. I just feel for those in the Triad. (Although not too bad because they have done better than the majority of the state, outside the mtns). In the past few years.
LickWx
Member
Nice so me and Brick both got 3 inches . It’s all gone now . Outside of very shaded areas the snow has left . Looking at a temp map rn you can see the 96 corridor a bit cooler than to the west . Reflects the higher snow total .
Same. Missed a tiny little spot in northern Wake, and went a little too low off to the NE. But not bad, overall.
LickWx
Member
You had me as zero as well. Dude I was rooting for you though!
I’ve still got a good bit on the ground
I crapped the bed with my forecast map. LOL