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Wintry January 8-9 Wintery Weather Potential!

Snowfan said:
It looks like most of it is sleet tbh.
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I wouldn't pay too much attention to ptypes until 2 days out in close areas. As I posted with the GFS sounding trend, things can change real quick and it seems like only the 950 through surface are a problem at the moment.
 
I have no way to get soundings on pivotal for Euro. No biggie today, but for everyones ptypes we get to Wednesday afternoon, it will be important to start zeroing in on them, watching the trends. Hopefully we can score one here for some.
 
Per the Euro it looks like 12 hours of frozen (mostly snow) here with an inch of liquid being used on the frozen. Even at just 5:1 Ratios that is a heck of a storm total for this. Not saying we are going to get that much but ensembles and OP are now showing major accumulations in the upstate and I just don't think we can keep overlooking that now. We are seeing the ULL push towards the I20 corridor on all the models (except the CMC) so I think you're starting to see a consensus on the track. West of 77 appears to be getting better with precip and temperatures in the mid and lower levels. East of 77 is becoming a bit shaky IMO. Really wanting to see how the NAM shows our thermals as well.
 
That whole run of the Euro just looked weird, start to finish. Doesn’t mean it was wrong, just bizarre
 
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