Wintry January 8-9 Wintery Weather Potential!

[Metwannabe]

is this thing on?
View attachment 62531

Right, I was just about to post "where's the precip?!"

 

[SD]

500mb low is about 50 miles south of 0z on the Euro. My expectations of this run, they are rising

 

[mrdaddyman]

is this thing on?
View attachment 62531

Where is the precip, lol?!

 

[TarHeelSnow]

A dif precip look it seems on these three frames on the pivotal maps. Interesting.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Might form a sick deform band as it pivots

 

[SimeonNC]

A fricking sleet deformation band at 108 lol

 

[SD]

sleet bomb

 

[KyloG]

For people wanting hope the Euro just gave it. Snow map maybe worse than 0z but the track of the 850 low and slp looked really good.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[SD]

Where is the precip, lol?!

700mb dry slot punches in so we are sitting and waiting

 

[Ollie Williams]

I’m really not liking the trend at 850.

 

[iGRXY]

Oh boy ...

 

[Myfrotho704_]

sounding on the backside, still a mid lvl warm nose but winds switching aloft

 

[SD]

you could make a case that the precip field should be more expansive especially toward the Va border but meh so many runs left no reason to over analyze other than it actually inched south

 

[mrdaddyman]

you could make a case that the precip field should be more expansive especially toward the Va border but meh so many runs left no reason to over analyze other than it actually inched south

Yeah, give me a good track and we'll see how the cold air and precip responds.

 

[Broken024]

check please

 

[Metwannabe]

you could make a case that the precip field should be more expansive especially toward the Va border but meh so many runs left no reason to over analyze other than it actually inched south

Right, I'll take my chances being north of the ULL and the 850 low at this stage of the game. If it was inching north we'd already stick a fork in it

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Sleet is gonna be a problem with this system. You can already tell, Euro shows warmer 850s but has a band of colder 925s

 

[SD]

Yeah, give me a good track and we'll see how the cold air and precip responds.

agreed the only thing that sucked about the Euro was the fact that even though it ticked southward the best 700mb was along the first layer of counties across the NC/Va border. Even if this Euro run were to verify we would likely go from rain/snow/sleet to sleet/rain then back to snow/sleet as the deformation band rotated back through

 

[SimeonNC]

Sleet is gonna be a problem with this system. You can already tell, Euro shows warmer 850s but has a band of colder 925s

I will gladly take sleet if it means I won't see cold rain lol