Wintry January 8-9 Wintery Weather Potential!

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Steven_1974]

Probably, but that dryslot for Raleigh is hilarious.

I'm heading back there on Thursday, so I'm looking forward to it verifying.

Raleigh snowdome is usually in effect.

 

[KyloG]

How is that even possible? I know I'm not going to get any snow here, but how is there zero precipitation?

The absolute last thing I am worried about is seeing heavy precip. Although I may regret typing this...

 

[NorthGaWinter4]

Atlanta Met brad nitz mentioned the possibility for NE GA

 

[NCSNOW]

The ULL track on the Icon is beautiful.

Was Going to say the same thing right over our buddy GA WX house. Thats the Triad benchmark.

 

[Avalanche]

Rah NWS throwing out a very localized HWO for possible rain/snow mix for NW Piedmont early Friday.... that's good, they are very conservative and cautious with pulling trigger on wintry precip.

If they have any affiliation with Mix 101.5 they said the NW mountains could see some wet flakes.

 

[FallsLake]

No way we don't develop a surface low here.

There's so many different looks (from different models) right now, there's no way to know the details right now. I just like hearing that the the storm continues to trend south and east on many models.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I can’t unsee

 

[iGRXY]

When you get a track like that with just slightly better temps in the 850s and 925s, ohhhh boy. I can only see the 925s on the ICON and they were a couple of degrees below freezing the whole way so this one looks pretty good as of right now. Lets see where the GFS takes us.

 

[Meteorologist1999]

ICON has the "snow" really far south this run.

View attachment 62623

Even in central SC wow.

 

[jackendrickwx]

Lock the thread

 

[Brick Tamland]

I doubt precip will be an issue with as much as we have had here lately.

 

[RBR71]

How is that even possible? I know I'm not going to get any snow here, but how is there zero precipitation?

Everything hate us

Conspiracy thread

 

[Myfrotho704_]

There’s your difference

 

[SD]

Giddy up

 

[Chazwin]

I can’t unseeView attachment 62630

If anything like that does develop for Charlotte metro, there would likely be some decent accumulations as that band pivots through... even for southeast parts of the metro area. Also I saw some question about ground temperatures earlier and I pulled up currently that soil temperatures right now are generally in the mid to upper 40s throughout the Piedmont and we have some nights in the upper 20s coming up and with highs Wednesday and Thursday basically in the upper 40s, soil temperatures should hold steady if not fall back a few degrees. Not a frozen ground for whatever may fall, but we’ve certainly had significant snowfalls with higher soil temperatures going in.

 

[ryan1234]

Guys... is this really happening or is just a sick joke to the start of 2021? Loving where we stand right now. But we’ve been NAM’d before, so I’m trying to keep those expectations modest.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Myfrotho704_]

GFS probably might sling it more SE then the run before, we’ll see tho I could be wrong

 

[iGRXY]

At 81 the ULL is further south on the GFS

 

[crawford76]

Especially in the Charlotte area we need this sucker to dig, because the last minute NW trend is almost guaranteed to occur.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

GFS is laying the smackdown on Franklin NC this run

 

[Oconeexman]

250 mile difference in Low placement on the Nam?

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

18z is a @BIG FROSTY deluxe

 

[RBR71]

GFS is laying the smackdown on Franklin NC this run

Yeah mashed potatoes falling from the sky smackdown

 

[Ollie Williams]

Much snowier this run!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Ollie Williams]

You can pretty easily tell where the warm nose is.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Do need to keep a eye on that SE Canada low trying to interfere again, kinda don’t like this now, want more separation so it doesn’t feel the weakness and go NE

 

[RBR71]

Why tho???????????????????????

 

[RBR71]

Convective feedback issues right? Precip shield will be more expansive to the NW right?

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Anybody in Franklin for a spare bunk?

 

[RBR71]

That storm track results in this qpf? Nope nope nope, not gonna happen..... not believing it (sorry selfish imby rant)

 

[DopplerWx]

whole lotta rain for charlotte at least for the front end of precip, ugh.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

GFS now trying to show a signal for a deformation band, that’s the big wildcard in this system, and could be a boom type thing

 

[TarHeelSnow]

Much snowier this run!
View attachment 62635

A Falls Lake, Brick, and I special (I.e. right on the line of something decent)

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

Anybody in Franklin for a spare bunk?View attachment 62641

Looks like Cashiers/Highlands is the sweet spot.

 

[iGRXY]

Those that live west of 77 definitely should love the trends today.

 

[crawford76]

View attachment 62642
GFS now trying to show a signal for a deformation band, that’s the big wildcard in this system, and could be a boom type thing View attachment 62644View attachment 62643

If you have ever found yourself under one of those deformation bands they are awesome!! Only problem is they may only be a ~25 mi wide swath or less, so predicting their location is a "nowcasting" type event.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

V16 (still going)

 

[packfan98]

@metwannabe, you will approve of the gfsv16. Looks like good precip further north. you may get the deform band on this run.