Rainforrest
Member
looks more like cashiers.
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Wintry January 8-9 Wintery Weather Potential!
- Thread starter Ollie Williams
- Start date
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- Tags
- winter
NorthGaWinter4
Member
@ForsythSnow how do you feel for our area. We are super close i haven’t looked at soundings
packfan98
Moderator
GEFS is looking really solid compared to previous runs. Out to hr 90
Pretty sizable increase on gefs so far
in charlotte we are prob looking at a typical cold rain friday morning and hoping we get snow on the deform band on the backside.
NorthGaWinter4
Member
GEFS looks pretty good for NGA
Probably one of those things where how far north you are makes the big difference around our areas
End off with this, wow ! 
No matter how things trend, I'm going to remain skeptical of the warm nose unless we get into the CAM range, and things stay consistant.
oh wow now we know where the entrance to hell is.
I’m honestly interested in the higher res models sniffing the deformation band better
Honestly if a deform band does get going it may be that east of I-77 in the Charlotte area does well. Southern Rowan, Cabarrus, Union, and Stanly counties have done fairly well in the past with deform bands like what is being hinted at. Prior to any deform band, I would expect the city and points south and east to be mainly rain.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Definitely a wait and see situation. 1 or 2 degrees makes all the difference.
JHS
Member
That's nothing new for most of us outside of the mountains unless it's a CAD setup. You have a better chance than I do because of elevation. I'm afraid I get rain while I watch Spartanburg and Gaffney get nailed.
NorthGaWinter4
Member
We are a few miles away from a thump
Probably
May help maintain a sightly better cold feed in the low and mid levels. I don't think this would cause it to be farther N if anything the slightly lower heights to the east might cause a faster/SE result
Paste 
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Nice to see it actually trend better the closer we get.
Snownut
Member
1 to 3" across northern upstate, I'd take that in a heartbeat
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Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Did you retire from Wal-Mart ? You sure do a lot of chasing ?
That feb 25-26 2015 winter storm was a Way different type of storm, but maybe a further north version of it with the snow footprint ? That storm also had a disappointing warm nose 
Not really! 2 inches? But I'll go with that and be happy. Mountains is the place to be as usual........................
Didn’t that have a deform band ? I remember the thundersnow
So far 18z euro has the ULL further north, might wobble south tho, let’s see
iGRXY
Member
Also is slower
UK looks realistic based on H5 track, 850 from N GA to ILM indicates NE NC and SE VA may be in play. Coastal plain needs margin at this range and we are +2, that’s bad once the mesos get ahold of this, sig warm nose inbound given proximity to the coast.
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iGRXY
Member
ULL wobbles further south but is slightly slower.
iGRXY
Member
At 75 it’s on the Arkansas and Mississippi border where at 12z it was on the Alabama and Mississippi northern border
Dont lie Big Frosty we all know how this one plays out......ur tickled pink lol
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This run is further north, bleh 
A nod more towards the Canadian 
