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Wintry January 8-9 Wintery Weather Potential!

I do wonder however, if this is actually a better look for a backside deform, because while a more further south track is just a solid band of snow, if you get a closer one with a pivot in ENC, maybe you get a deform ? Still don’t want it to far north tho
 
sdm47 said:
Ok this is one of my all-time faves.

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This was one of the rare Piedmont winter storms that was all snow from beginning to end. Temperatures had been below freezing for about 36 hours prior to this starting which meant that it starting accumulating from the first flake. If I remember correctly this storm had snow with it almost down to I-10 I the Deep South
 
NAM firing warning shots.

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Myfrotho704_ said:
Maybe we can repeat that sometime the next few weeks
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Jimmy Hypocracy said:
This was a fun one in the upstate. I think I was in 7th grade. Had some staying power if I remember correctly.
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It's one of the CIPS analogs. Along with December 2010. A blockbuster pattern is being advertised, that no one can deny. Now it's time to reel it in.
 
Ollie Williams said:
No matter how things trend, I'm going to remain skeptical of the warm nose unless we get into the CAM range, and things stay consistant.
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One glaring wildcard Thats being honked loud and clear on all models is a deform band. Now where that exactly takes up roots exact point from metwannabe through our backyards down toward wows area in NC will be decided Friday at verification. But that heavy quick thump/rates will be what gets the grass covered up in 1-2 hours. Rates,those kind of Rates im referencing, will trump ground temps, sun angle or every other kind of negative factor that gets thrown out there. Thats the winning lotto /combination for Triad,Traingle, western piedmont,northern coastal plain posters on here. Dicey, but some cluster of posters in NC outside MTNS, will get a payday Friday. Some will get burnt by the hair of their chin. But hey its a decent shot and not just wishcasting ,false hope.
 
KyloG said:
All 3 globals for 12z Friday. Atleast for today they are on top of each other.

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At this point like brad said I think flakes will fly in Charlotte/Raleigh, but really my what’s revolving in my head is how far NW will the warm nose move, where does the deform band setup, honestly I think that’s where areas outside the mountains would score the most with given that precip is not driven by intense WAA/SW flow aloft
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
At this point like brad said I think flakes will fly in Charlotte/Raleigh, but really my what’s revolving in my head is how far NW will the warm nose move, where does the deform band setup, honestly I think that’s where areas outside the mountains would score the most with given the precip is not driven by intense WAA/SW flow aloft
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I've already accepted the warm nose is coming through here. Might start as some snow or sleet but any good snow for here and probably Raleigh comes at the end when it changes over
 
SD said:
I've already accepted the warm nose is coming through here. Might start as some snow or sleet but any good snow for here and probably Raleigh comes at the end when it changes over
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You need to come up to the northern part of the county.
 
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