Wintry January 8-9 Wintery Weather Potential!

[SD]

Sleet is gonna be a problem with this system. You can already tell, Euro shows warmer 850s but has a band of colder 925s

Without looking at the Euro soundings just the maps look like its getting close to being a primarily sleet event for parts of NC. I'm not sure how deep the BL warmth is but 925s are near or below freezing for a good part of the area. If the Euro is right at 2m though it could sleet for a week and we would just be looking at puddles and some grey mulch

 

[iGRXY]

Without looking at the Euro soundings just the maps look like its getting close to being a primarily sleet event for parts of NC. I'm not sure how deep the BL warmth is but 925s are near or below freezing for a good part of the area. If the Euro is right at 2m though it could sleet for a week and we would just be looking at puddles and some grey mulch

East of 77 definitely looks like sleet will be an issue. The euro on pivotal had sleet in the upstate but the soundings supported snow. Weatherbell had snow all the way so that’s going to be interesting to see how it plays out. Brad said it would be a snow or rain setup which I’m leaning to as well but east of 77 definitely could be a sleet fest.

 

[Brick Tamland]

12z CMC, futher south compared to its 0z solution: Track consensus is tightening no doubt. Matter now of if /how much or little it tightens up 2/3 contour verse 1 expansive contour

View attachment 62494
View attachment 62497

The Wake County Sounding for the 6 inch part
View attachment 62498

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Yo the EPS/control is further south and trying to involve GA/more of SC

 

[Chandler]

 

[Brick Tamland]

The Euro is looking better, too. Interesting.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Further south

 

[sdm47]

EPS won't done yet...

 

[packfan98]

View attachment 62569

Can we get one of those cool comparisons to prev runs??? Please?

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

EPS won't done yet...

View attachment 62572

Keep in mind this map shows a ratio of 10:1 which i believe Webber said wont happen. Probably cut those totals in half

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[sdm47]

Keep in mind this map shows a ratio of 10:1 which i believe Webber said wont happen. Probably cut those totals in half

Who said this was snow at all? Simply looking at trends - better to consider this a bucket of all frozen precip.

 

[Brick Tamland]

Wow, the Euro showing that inside 5 days is huge. It looks better here than it does for the potential storm next week.

 

[superjames1992]

Sleet is gonna be a problem with this system. You can already tell, Euro shows warmer 850s but has a band of colder 925s

Is it ever not?

 

[NorthGaWinter4]

Further south View attachment 62570View attachment 62571

This is getting close @ForsythSnow

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Is it ever not?

Yeah, just go towards about 700mb and your straight

 

[SD]

East of 77 definitely looks like sleet will be an issue. The euro on pivotal had sleet in the upstate but the soundings supported snow. Weatherbell had snow all the way so that’s going to be interesting to see how it plays out. Brad said it would be a snow or rain setup which I’m leaning to as well but east of 77 definitely could be a sleet fest.

Yeah it makes sense with mid level WAA kicking out in front of the system itself that areas around here would change to sleet. Really going to be interesting to see how the thermals break down as we get closer assuming the Euro is correct

 

[Brick Tamland]

Looks like the Euro is definitely trending further south and east with the frozen precip.

 

[Snowfan]

This is getting close @ForsythSnow

It looks like most of it is sleet tbh.

 

[BHS1975]

Yeah it makes sense with mid level WAA kicking out in front of the system itself that areas around here would change to sleet. Really going to be interesting to see how the thermals break down as we get closer assuming the Euro is correct

NAM "sorry not sorry"


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