iGRXY
Member
Actually pretty far south compared to where is was
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Wintry January 8-9 Wintery Weather Potential!
- Thread starter Ollie Williams
- Start date
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- Tags
- winter
Buuuuuut crush job....haha I'll take it
Gfs didn’t look that bad for our second storm too.. slightly marginal but this far out?? It’s amazing
NBAcentel
Member
Sorta the in between on the models, but note that piece in the NE coming back 
Take the RGEM frontside + the CMC backside = yes, please. That's how this works, right?!
iGRXY
Member
GEFS is the same west of 77 but worse east of 77
NBAcentel
Member
MA weenies getting more depressed 
That might be just enough to entice the upper levels to start unraveling a bit as it gets to our area. On to the euro
NBAcentel
Member
Jeez can’t wait till tomorrow night when the nam becomes more reliable, I’m tired of tracking this thing
00z CMC
Jessy89
Member
0z models sucked for upstate
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
NBAcentel
Member
don’t know whether the CMC is better or not.... H5 tho, looks better at the sfc/H85 
NBAcentel
Member
Oh my, looking behind the scenes....
NorthGaWinter4
Member
Ukmet is a mountains only storm. Hopefully that’s not a sign of what the euro is about to show
That’s the most likely outcome here imo. Marginal mountain event. Paste
NBAcentel
Member
Sum don’t add up
Sounding at my place
Sounding under the death band 
Uk is trying to say it’s rain, especially the first one, wut lol 
Sounding at my place
Sounding under the death band Uk is trying to say it’s rain, especially the first one, wut lol
NBAcentel
Member
Not trying to sound like a weenie here but that’s a band of snow, imo 
NBAcentel
Member
It’s better than 12z at H5, not by much but a little, this argues a isolated upper level low paste job event, vs a more widespread one 
NBAcentel
Member
Oops posted in the wrong thread, but latest CMC ens is a little bit better..
NBAcentel
Member
Euro looks faster but the same latitude as 18z
NBAcentel
Member
Might be a little bit worse then 18z
NBAcentel
Member
I take that back, it’s colder at 850mb this run and it looks like it’s connecting more to the SE Canada low which allowed colder temps aloft 
Better run at the surface!
NBAcentel
Member
Oh my 
NBAcentel
Member
That band though that rotates on the backside.... 
Much more cold air even though the storm went north.
NBAcentel
Member
How.... it doesn’t make sense, euro is basically almost a warmer version of the NAM
I guess the ULL trended colder. The hint of the warm nose still bothers me though.
NBAcentel
Member
I’m honestly more sold on snow from the backside of the system anyways, that part of the storm is the part that would probably get the job done
EPS so far
End
End
NBAcentel
Member
EPS is even colder at the surface and 850mb !
NBAcentel
Member
EPS holding steady, I feel like the GFS isn’t right 
NBAcentel
Member
EPS loves along 85-north towards I-40 
NorthGaWinter4
Member
Idk why I’m up but 06z nam looks identical to 00z so far
NBAcentel
Member
It’s further south now, it it doesn’t move NEward, could be better
NBAcentel
Member
If this ULL doesn’t start moving NE, boom 
NBAcentel
Member
?
NBAcentel
Member
Damn ULL turning NEward now, that’ll bring plenty of WAA probably, almost stayed south
NBAcentel
Member
Lol this run is missing NC but crushing the upstate