• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Freezing Rain, Sleet, Snow, Rain...Kitchen Sink (12/15-16)

Don’t look now, but even the GFS is expanding the icing. Showing all of the huntersville/LKN area in the freezing rain all the way up to Alamance county.
Wtf your not lying lol, looks like the RGEM, is the GFS cold biased as well because it’s been surprisingly cold with this wedge ? It used to be the GFSs poor handling of it E4E0F680-A153-47B2-890B-75CB49C0BD7E.png
 
Wtf your not lying lol, looks like the RGEM, is the GFS cold biased as well because it’s been surprisingly cold with this wedge ? It used to be the GFSs poor handling of it View attachment 57917
Always seemed to do bad with CAD events before, too warm and couldn’t find the wedge. CMC has been the best global model in the past handling these events.
 
Wtf your not lying lol, looks like the RGEM, is the GFS cold biased as well because it’s been surprisingly cold with this wedge ? It used to be the GFSs poor handling of it View attachment 57917

Wow

That would put me into play, that and the Canadian. Maybe this wedge ends up over performing. It has been known to happen before.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
I wonder what made that run different
The parent high has trended stronger but that’s all I see 9CFC2427-9D7F-4AFE-8D92-0F7A61E30B26.gif
 
Come on man. This is not happening for us. I guess you'll have to awake to a cold rain to believe it
Speak for yourself. When your DP are that far off already, CAD is notorious for over performing, and the fact that there's a strong HP on the US border, I will take my chances.
 
Speak for yourself. When your DP are that far off already, CAD is notorious for over performing, and the fact that there's a strong HP on the US border, I will take my chances.

Exactly. Not that this is our storm. But if we can get a wedge to bring 40’s in mid April- the ones that extend all the way to Atlanta- while Alabama is getting severe weather. I’d think we can make something happen in mid December.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Speak for yourself. When your DP are that far off already, CAD is notorious for over performing, and the fact that there's a strong HP on the US border, I will take my chances.
That CAD better start doing some work fast then. Wetbulb is 39 right now and the clouds are almost here which will limit our radiational cooling. You're going to need that to get the temp down to Wetbulb 32 because the dews are still way too high even if they are colder than modeling.
 
Come on man. This is not happening for us. I guess you'll have to awake to a cold rain to believe it

Most of us are not within ten miles of one another. If it’s not happening for you it doesn’t mean we stop discussing it. US = Southeast U.S. from Texas to VA. You = ?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
That CAD better start doing some work fast then. Wetbulb is 39 right now and the clouds are almost here which will limit our radiational cooling. You're going to need that to get the temp down to Wetbulb 32 because the dews are still way too high even if they are colder than modeling.
The sun literally is just setting. You’re acting like the temperature is in the 60’s. I’m sitting at 44 with plenty of RC to go
 
Most of us are not within ten miles of one another. If it’s not happening for you it doesn’t mean we stop discussing it. US = Southeast U.S. from Texas to VA. You = ?


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
I didn't say that it wasn't happening for anyone. I directy replied to a poster right here near me that thinks we're getting a big ice storm here.
 
Cloud deck is real close to over taking the entire upstate of SC. Will limit radiational cooling...we may struggle to get to 35 unless the I85 wall can slow her down!
Screenshot_20201215-172853_Chrome.jpg
 
I never said a big ice storm. I said the potential is there with CAD already over performing. We get it you are dome and gloom 24/7.
I'm not going to go back through this thread to find the 0.5" you said northern Spartanburg County would get. Thats a big ice storm there. I just follow what the data tells me and if that's doom and gloom so be it. The NWS must be doom and gloom too because they haven't even felt the need to issue any kind of advisory or even special weather statement for the county.
 
I still think you foothill folks can do well with this event. That low (that will kill the Washington folks) shouldn't have any affect on you. Dew points are high right now but you should be able to feed into lower dew points to the north during the event. We've seen this in the past where locations closest to the mountains (in the foothills) can overperform; maybe even into SC / Ne Ga.
 
I'm not going to go back through this thread to find the 0.5" you said northern Spartanburg County would get. Thats a big ice storm there. I just follow what the data tells me and if that's doom and gloom so be it. The NWS must be doom and gloom too because they haven't even felt the need to issue any kind of advisory or even special weather statement for the county.
Yep. Look at that call map with 0.5” in northern Spartanburg. We get it, you complain and hug whatever model shows the worst solution. And we always love to hear the apparent drought that boiling springs SC supposedly has ever summer too.
 

Attachments

  • 13350CB4-9D51-4433-862B-0B31A582DAB9.png
    13350CB4-9D51-4433-862B-0B31A582DAB9.png
    1.6 MB · Views: 49
I still think you foothill folks can do well with this event. That low (that will kill the Washington folks) shouldn't have any affect on you. Dew points are high right now but you should be able to feed into lower dew points to the north during the event. We've seen this in the past where locations closest to the mountains (in the foothills) can overperform; maybe even into SC / Ne Ga.
Just hit 39/29 been dropping steady from a high of 47 at 3PM. Going to get interesting here on the escarpment that's for sure.
 
Back
Top