The same, it weirdly warms up surface temps before precip moves in during the night....
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Freezing Rain, Sleet, Snow, Rain...Kitchen Sink (12/15-16)
- Thread starter Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
- Start date
Broken024
Member
I used to live right under that 28.6 in nw nj. Good times there.
I'd honestly forget about that model. It's not going to come around. It'll either bust horribly or be the messiah.
LickWx
Member
Is it weird though ? Looks like Tuesday night temps drop as it will be clear . Perhaps the Euro is just showing the onset of a low level system and some wind stirring up what would have been a perfect night of radiational cooling which results in the rise in temps as precip and clouds ( wind?!) arrive ?
Cad Wedge NC
Member
Anyone have a link to current soil temps?
LickWx
Member
Fox Carolina just posted this image ? 
NoSnowATL
Member
We will make our own wedge!
Cad Wedge NC
Member
Thanks man, that was just what I was looking for.
Here’s my first call map (blend of the NAM/GFS/CMC/RGEM/UK/ICON)
*note this could get warmer or I could get more aggressive, depends on trends the next 2 days !*
-thinking for Right near Charlotte and north, a glaze to .10 with a few sleet pellets is possible, this extends into the upstate and perhaps GA
-as you get towards LKN/huntersville up the 85 corridor to High point/GSO, you start increasing to 0.1 to 0.2 and perhaps 0.25 of ice along with some sleet, also @Sleet City USA favorite place landrum SC and those areas in the extreme northern upstate stand a better chance more ice
-As you get towards hickory/statesville up to the I-40 corridor, the chances of a more significant ice storm (0.25>) increase along with maybe up to 0.25 of sleet as those areas will be around 29-31
*note this could get warmer or I could get more aggressive, depends on trends the next 2 days !*
-thinking for Right near Charlotte and north, a glaze to .10 with a few sleet pellets is possible, this extends into the upstate and perhaps GA
-as you get towards LKN/huntersville up the 85 corridor to High point/GSO, you start increasing to 0.1 to 0.2 and perhaps 0.25 of ice along with some sleet, also @Sleet City USA favorite place landrum SC and those areas in the extreme northern upstate stand a better chance more ice
-As you get towards hickory/statesville up to the I-40 corridor, the chances of a more significant ice storm (0.25>) increase along with maybe up to 0.25 of sleet as those areas will be around 29-31
Stephenb888
Member
Dewpoint Dan
Member
There's a difference between a little ice and an ice storm. So you believe Greenville, SC will see major ice accumulations ?
Stephenb888
Member
Yes.
Ollie is that your map? [mention]Ollie Williams [/mention]
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The forecast for Wednesday and Wednesday night for Bethlehem, PA. Maybe I should go see my father.
Do it! Surprise him. It will be a great time for everything that’s been going on and for Christmas. Sorry for the banter.
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NAM is slower with the system
iGRXY
Member
Here's my first call. I think along and North of I40 and Northeast of I26 is likely to see a significant ice storm. Widespread .25 here with isolated .4 of ICE in some valleys where CAD will likely hold on for the duration of the storm. I think the Triad, along and south of I40, and the prime CAD areas of SC likely get a decent storm out of this as well. TR, Taylors, Landrum, Inman, Greer, Chesnee, Boiling Springs, Gaffney, Lyman/Welford especially will likely see a decent storm. Greenville, Southern Spartanburg, Union, Simpsonville, CLT, and just east of the Triad should see at least a glaze to up to .1 of ICE. These CADs always hold on longer than models show, and usually over perform. I still don't think we will get a good feel until the 12z suite tomorrow from the mesoscale models.