Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Possibly, the Scand >>> -NAO progression is favored more so in early winter so I wouldn't rule it out.
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2020-2021 Winter: Early Thoughts
- Thread starter Fountainguy97
- Start date
Possibly, the Scand >>> -NAO progression is favored more so in early winter so I wouldn't rule it out.
Avalanche
Member
I really enjoyed that one. Wish it was a tad colder during it.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Avalanche
Member
It was a crusher alright, nothing but sleet for me
I got all snow here. But the year before the NAM detected a warm nose that other models didn't, and we got sleeted on bad.
Imma going to put my meteorological career on the line and say, I really don't think this winter is going to as bad as all the (Winter Forecasts) and Indices are indicating at this time. I think the winter will go in the books with Temps above normal, But I think we end up above normal SNOW. I think there will be several CAD events with ZR/IP with at least one major ICE STORM. I think there will be some (very cold) air outbreaks that only last a couple days. Specifically for my area (NW NC Foothills),
Snow-14 inches
Ice- 1 major Ice storm 1/4 inch or more. several small events.
Lowest Temp- (8*)
This is JMO- Bash away! lol
Snow-14 inches
Ice- 1 major Ice storm 1/4 inch or more. several small events.
Lowest Temp- (8*)
This is JMO- Bash away! lol
still mad about that one. a foot about 7 miles NW of me. 2 inches of sleet hereIt was a crusher alright, nothing but sleet for me
There's nothing bad about sleet. That's wintry precip and wintry precip is so desired in the SE since it is so rare. I'd rather get 2" of sleet than 0.7" of rain.
Sleet's great if it's cold enough to stick.. Chattanooga gets a lot of worthless (over 32 degrees) sleet.
I mean when I was that close to glory, I think I’m ok to say I didn’t enjoy that storm very much
StormStalker
Member
I prefer a nice coating of sleet with snow on top of it. Seems like that slows the melting process.
I'm guessing that storm is why you're Sleet City? Looks like you joined right after it.
That, and it just seems to sleet more here
Tony ( @dsaur ) ought to move to your location. I enjoy sleet a lot (along with other wintry precip) but he totally thrives on it! He's the sleet lover of sleet lovers in case you didn't know.
Oh he’d love it. I bet I’ve been robbed of 5+ inches of snow in 10 years here bc of sleet
SimeonNC
Member
Same, I think this winter could have the potential to be colder than previous winters.
MichaelJ
Member
We better get some snow in December because I think Jan and Feb will be downright warm (and March probably a little closer to normal), and a violent March for storms as well
I think you’re probably right about that, but I would put the best window from 12/10-1/10. After that I could see things getting really mild for the rest of the winter
No idea how well these models perform.. but looks like the CanSIPS has Dec as the best bet for cold/snow in our area, while the CFS looks better in Feb.
They're so bad that you should basically take the result and expect the opposite. That's why I'm optimistic.
tennessee storm
Member
Agree Michael. Winter will come fairly early if it happens ... be short lived