NoSnowATL
Member
We will no doubt. Mid December- January.
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Naughty November
- Thread starter LickWx
- Start date
Imo were gonna have to rely on a 50/50 low squashing the SER for a winter storm setup this winter
Dewpoint Dan
Member
I thought La Nina meant warm and dry ! Apparently we are in an El Nino !
NoSnowATL
Member
Our favorite
NoSnowATL
Member
Most of the time that’s true, we have had some nice storms during La Niña and even strong ones.
Yep, the setup that’s most prone to a NW trend so it almost always fails ?
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Why do they call it a 50/50 low ?
Because it sits at 50N/50W
If the tropics stay active, we could technically get a Don’Nado type winter storm
Delayed but not denied
Don't worry, just like no two storms are alike no two winters are alike! No repeat of 05-06 or 11-12 coming. It'll surely suck just as bad as those. It'll just find a different way to suck. I've embraced the inevitable suck that's coming!
tennessee storm
Member
strong la nina in coming... what would u expect. lol
tennessee storm
Member
waa would win out. lol
Unless we get fringed ?
Never thought I would be excited about a potential zonal flow and cooling back to near normal but here we are
Gfs = ridge retrogression
I can confirm that we did have a freeze my Bermuda is brown. Probably will be green again by next Friday
Yep it starts getting us where we need to be by 11/20.
While late November snow is rare the climo door starts opening for more and more of us after 11/15. It's almost go time
The below isn't an ugly look and would certainly set the mood for the holidays. Maybe I'm in there minority but I certainly like for my late November to new years to be chilly
Dewpoint Dan
Member
SASQUATCH
Mobile, AL: Snow Capital of the South
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Give me cold through Feb 10 and I'm good.
smast16
Member
Me and RSG just high fived down at the base of our cliffs.
cd2play
Member
I'm sipping my tequila at the bottom.
Cadi40
Member
Warm in the dead of winter doesn’t necessarily mean December 2015 levels of warmth, it most likely means low 60’s during the day which may be a tad warm but personally sounds amazing.
NoSnowATL
Member
Remember we have 45 days until winter. So let it warm up now.
Week of Thanksgiving to February 15th is good for me.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Yeah snow after Mid Feb in the deep south isn't as fun since it usually melts within hours. I want a snow that stays on the ground at least 5 days.
BHS1975
Member
This weather is great as it has been cold and miserable the last few years in November. We might as well try something different cause we have nothing to lose.
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This is ideal for @tennessee storm 
Dewpoint Dan
Member
Not bad for tar heel either
The 12z GFS was actually not bad. Looks like a couple of uncomfortable humid days next week (with rain) but then it starts to cool back down. Looking out into fantasy time it shows a really good cool down going into Thanksgiving week. This would be the perfect time for a pattern shift.
tennessee storm
Member
To bad the ensembles not agreeing with that ...
D
Deleted member 609
Guest
Nice weather coming up here. Looking forward to it. We can save cold rain for January
Yeah, not sure what will happen in the LR. But the 6z GFS continues to show hope out towards the beginning of Thanksgiving week (again fantasy range). More realistically, it and the euro show a nice fall cool down at day 10. Lets see if that holds in the coming days.
EPS doesn't look bad post next Friday. A couple warm days ahead of a front but the last 4-5 days of the run are 60s for highs.
As long as the ridge stays in place between Hawaii and the Aleutians and we keep a trough in AK the best we can do is probably average with maybe a day or 2 below normal behind any fronts.
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Long nights and these easterly flow higher DP days has really set us up. Probably going to see plenty of fog through at least Tuesday morning until we start getting some clouds and maybe a little breeze by mid week
Yessss! All I care about atm is it's looking like the front will slide through by next Saturday, dropping temps and dews just in time for my race. Thank you Lord!
I'll take it....
Yep, I'm still looking for comfort over anything else. Next Wednesday (11th) will showcase dewpoints at or above 70 for many of us eastern (SE) folks. Not comfortable.....