12z spaghetti models
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Tropical Major Hurricane Laura
- Thread starter GaWx
- Start date
Henry2326
Member
Looks like alignment is falling apart.....
Continue to watch the UAL and one thing that is pretty consistent the past five runs the trough over the Gulf isn’t budging. This is what will cause #TSLaura to push further west. However, Laura May track up the entire terrain of Cuba and could substantially slow down. The models may be catching on to this idea, Hence the the 12z spaghetti models have shifted east compared since yesterday. It is very unlikely this storm will be stronger then 90mph winds.
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Bama Ravens
Member
HWRF has gone full Hurricane Frederic mode.
BHS1975
Member
Yeah it has the LLC jumping NW from where the MLC is now.
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Sounds like to me, the possibility of Laura missing Hispaniola and possibly Cuba to the south is gradually increasing. It's gonna be a long weekend and week ahead if that does happen.
Has fujiwhara ever happened before?
Dewpoint Dan
Member
It happened around April 28, 2011 when 2 extratropical systems interacted.
Jessy89
Member
Does the NHC track take the fujiwrara effect into consideration?
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They will if they feel it's warranted. Right now, it's falla in the speculation realm.
Edit: I guess I could have said "it falls in...". But I guess ""it's fella in..." works too lol.
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Another concept to think about is that #TSMarco will be in the Gulf first. The trough has actually pulled the storm north and will completely miss the Yucatán. #TSLaura will be moving in the exact waters Marco traveled in. Cooling the waters before Laura arrives. This will hamper any major redevelopment once Laura emerges from Cuba.
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DustinWx
Moderator
Another concept to think about is that #TSMarco will be in the Gulf first. The trough has actually pulled the storm north and will completely miss the Yucatán. #TSLaura will be moving in the exact waters Marco traveled in. Cooling the waters before Laura arrives. This will hamper any major redevelopment once Laura emerges from Cuba.
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NHC discussion disagrees
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My observations are my own. I can only go by what my education has taught me.
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accu35
Member
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12z gfs has Laura in the 960s that's strong to meMy observations are my own. I can only go by what my education has taught me.
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Brent
Member
Marco is so small I doubt it has an impact
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Yikes. GFS is waaaaaay East with Laura.
Not seeing much on it, but if thing thing comes of Hispaniola, then stays over land the length of Cuba, she may be dead by the time she gets to the Gulf. There's a reason those islands are called shredders. Hopefully this happens.