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May be?

Speaking of forecasts, has anyone on here talked about how models are less accurate because of fewer planes bringing in less data?
I saw it mentioned a while back, when things were first getting shut down.
 
No frost around here. So much for the big freeze down this way. At least the models haven't forgotten how to do winter forecasting right!
I personally thought the models were too warm the runs yesterday were right around 40. The real bust was dew points they never fell into the low-mid 20s, check out the gfs and 3k forecast from 12z saturday for 6z this morning. gfs_Td2m_seus_4 (1).png
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Rdu verified at 34 and mby 35 around this time. I'm not complaining but we never had the super low floor the models were showing so most of us fell into the mid to upper 30s rapidly and once the wind started moving a little around 4am that was it for the temp fall and temps just held steady. Real crisis averted, imo if we had dews in the 20-25 range we would have easily seen lows 26-32 area wide, there was nothing stopping the free fall from sunset until the wind started
 
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Looks like GSO/RDU both bottomed about at 36. Asheboro bottomed our at 33, though, so outside the UHI frost/freeze was more of an issue.
 
Looks like GSO/RDU both bottomed about at 36. Asheboro bottomed our at 33, though, so outside the UHI frost/freeze was more of an issue.
What is it with greensboro, it oftentimes will record higher lows than RDU. Think in april we got a freeze and they didnt drop below 36. The normal cool spots like sanford and Roxboro all hit 32 . Not sure as much about UHI at RDU, dew point was above freezing there so that stopped it. Where as dew-points in greensboro very much supported a freeze as they were around 30.
 
What is it with greensboro, it oftentimes will record higher lows than RDU. Think in april we got a freeze and they didnt drop below 36. The normal cool spots like sanford and Roxboro all hit 32 . Not sure as much about UHI at RDU, dew point was above freezing there so that stopped it. Where as dew-points in greensboro very much supported a freeze as they were around 30.
Not sure. RDU even beat GSO for the all-time record low set back in 1985.

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It would be cool to see something like that again someday, but I don’t know if it’s in the cards.
 
Not sure. RDU even beat GSO for the all-time record low set back in 1985.

mint.19850121.gif


It would be cool to see something like that again someday, but I don’t know if it’s in the cards.
The really amazing thing about that cold snap was the daytime temperature drop that occurred on the 20th. CLT went from a high of 41 at 6am to single digits by mid-afternoon. It was a Sunday and even walking into church around 9am it was still in the 30s, so it was too bad. When coming out at 11:30 it was 20 degrees colder with a sub zero windchill and it had snowed a quick half inch or so
 
How can Hogtown complain with a May 10th 1:45 PM temp of 66º with a projected high of 73º? Honestly, one can't (IMBY anyways) ... ?

Three more days of this great pattern! I'll enjoy every bit of it before the heat comes in bigtime and will likely dominate the subsequent 120+ days. I'm very thankful we got/are getting this refreshing interlude.
 
Have to go all the way back to May 2004 to find colder may temp: 39. The official low for 5-10-2020 was 40. Wasn't as cold as predicted, but still pretty interesting historically. The next coldest May temp in that time frame was 41, achieved on a couple of years.
 
One thing you have to sacrifice with an EC ridge is rain. It won't be long until we start naming raindrops.ecmwf-ensemble-avg-conus-total_precip_inch-0451200.png
 
To be honest, this is reminding me of May 2016. It was very pleasant until around the 15th when the switch was flipped and everyone remembers the rest.
 
Would love a drought. It’s been over wet for 1-3 years here. Need some road construction to get done and stop the rain mud delays.
 
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