Steven_1974
Member
Well I'd hope not. I just don't get some folks almost cheering for values that give you tornadoes. I've been in two so the prospects of them don't make me feel good at all.
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4/24/20-4/26/20 possible severe weather
- Thread starter Myfrotho704_
- Start date
But it’s another sucky event that occurs around midnight or after up this way. I will be fast asleep unless my phone buzzes for a tornado or if the hail breaks my windows.
Hrrr lowkey went ballistic, lol, those warm front cells could really produce some hail 
LovingGulfLows
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
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Pretty cool how you can see some of the rotation of the developing upper level low over TN/MS/AL with that radar reflectivity comp.
SWB
Member
We got round coming through here around 11 or so.
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cd2play
Member
K hrrr 
Shaggy
Member
MHX gives us the ingredients minus a real trigger I guess.
What amounts to a warm front will push north this evening, with
southerly flow developing behind it. Strong low level moisture
advection will allow for temps and dewpoints to climb into the
mid to upper 60s overnight, leading to modest to strong
instability developing with MUCAPE values of 1000-2000 J/kg
possible. This will also take place under strengthening upper
level winds, with strong wind shear present over the area after
midnight. However, with the cold front/triple point low over
western NC, there will be limited convergence or forcing for
storms to develop over the area, along with limited moisture in
the mid levels. Nevertheless, scattered showers and
thunderstorms are expected overnight, with a couple/few severe
thunderstorms possible if updrafts can mature. That still
remains a big "if", and will be the limiting factor early Sunday
morning to a more widespread severe event.
What amounts to a warm front will push north this evening, with
southerly flow developing behind it. Strong low level moisture
advection will allow for temps and dewpoints to climb into the
mid to upper 60s overnight, leading to modest to strong
instability developing with MUCAPE values of 1000-2000 J/kg
possible. This will also take place under strengthening upper
level winds, with strong wind shear present over the area after
midnight. However, with the cold front/triple point low over
western NC, there will be limited convergence or forcing for
storms to develop over the area, along with limited moisture in
the mid levels. Nevertheless, scattered showers and
thunderstorms are expected overnight, with a couple/few severe
thunderstorms possible if updrafts can mature. That still
remains a big "if", and will be the limiting factor early Sunday
morning to a more widespread severe event.
GSP
Hrrr keeps hinting at this surge of CAPE as the line of storms begins to enter the piedmont, hmmm 
SWB
Member
We escaped with little damage tonight it appears. Seems to be very little reports to east of here. Except for Florida has some high wind reports.
Downeastnc
Member
HRRR now has several large discrete hooky supes making it all the way to the coast of NC...
Hrrr consistently keeps on giving me a nasty storm on the southern tail end, those tail end storms can be nasty, especially with elevated CAPE setups 
Fell back to 61/56 after a light shower. Looks like the wedge will win today which should keep severe at a minimum in this area. Still wouldn't be surprised to see an elevated storm overnight with a little hail but overall we dodged another bullet
Yeah it'll be interesting down your way with any storms that get going in NE Ga/upstate then moving in. Certainly looks like the edges of the wedge may be eroding a bit
Sun peeking through a bit, Hrrr still showing this cell lol 
mbway091
Member
Seems like there's a lot more disorganized precipitation in eastern TN right now than the HRRR has been depicting. Wonder if any of those cells it shows around here will really materialize.
Brad P's VLOG mentioned that he was didn't necessarily agree with the SPC outlook for today. He highlighted the Southern Piedmont as seeing a better chance for severe weather.