Jon
Member
Even @Jon who's the closest thing to a qualified medical expert on this virus we have on this forum, has mentioned the very real possibility of new strains emerging in the fall multiple times in fact, it's far from being drivel as you've blindly asserted.
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Yeah. I’m more concerned about a more severe outbreak next fall. Here are the scenarios:
- No vaccine
- vaccine made but it’s not ready in time (we need two weeks to build immunity to a vaccine, so timing will be important)
- vaccine is made and on time (highly unlikely), but is a poor match (in general, flu shots are 50% effective when we are talking best-case scenario)"
https://southernwx.com/community/threads/coronavirus.696/page-127#post-258421
"Yeah I agree I don’t think it will die off, it will definitely pick back up by fall and by then we’d really need a vaccine."
https://southernwx.com/community/threads/coronavirus.696/page-65#post-255108
It will come back, but what is now an additional question is how much herd immunity will we have?
There’s experts who believe this will behave like other coronaviruses and once you get it you build immunity for good. Even if that’s not the case, we will have some kind of baseline herd immunity before fall (we had zero herd immunity against this in Jan)
So it point-of-care antibody testing gets here quickly, to everyone, we can get immune people back to the workplace. A way of screening the immune.