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Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska

Check out the icon has a full blown ice storm for NC ... like I’ve been saying for a while now watch out for this threat as these types of systems like to sneak up on us

I agree, NC needs to watch this and hopefully that south trends continues for you guys. It will take a little more for SC and GA besides the mountain areas.


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Check out the icon has a full blown ice storm for NC ... like I’ve been saying for a while now watch out for this threat as these types of systems like to sneak up on us
Yep. If you look at the overall trend, the temps and DPs have decreased dramatically and the high in the NE has slid south and intensified. Any further and areas over here could see some too. Here's a frame when the precip hits nc by the way. Last 2 runs its shifted the entire length of the state.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_18.png
 
That looks really good, thanks! Perhaps it's starting to see the high amp 7/8 in the long term; trying to pop an Aleutian low and alaskan ridge finally. I like the split flow signature showing up. Man, if we could just get that within 7-10.

I feel like I'm on a treadmill chasing a carrot!

The pattern change is definitely within day 7-8 now and hopefully we see a legit threat show up soon. Anytime between day 8-15 something could happen.

E7BA0AF4-7DC2-4592-972C-D900C01605F8.png
 
And this first system (possible insitu CAD event) will have BIG implications for our future systems we are trying to track .. this is why u can never start predicting a future event if u have large scale events you have yet to get past yet
 
Check out the icon has a full blown ice storm for NC ... like I’ve been saying for a while now watch out for this threat as these types of systems like to sneak up on us
Definitely a south trend on that Friday night storm. This one might have a surprise in store for some of the cad areas. Interesting for sure.
 
U can’t make a statment like this without getting us in on what ur seeing COME ONNN show the fellow weenies

It’s too warm verbatim but meet EPS member 35. While this is on the more extreme side, many members have the possibility with the west coast trough pumping and the eastern trough bearing down.
 

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Not really a coastal..late bloomer shooting due east NE..not a bad runView attachment 30726

Yeah, it appears the period around 1/21-2 could get interesting for some. Per model biases if that system were to persist on the GFS, it would likely come closer to the coast with later runs. Imo if anything, it may end up trending too close to the coast or even inland and be too warm for most.

Meanwhile, on the opposite side of the spectrum, KSAV today had a 2nd straight record high of 82. Even more impressive, the low so far today has been way up at 69. IF that holds thru midnight, it would become the new record warmest low for all of January and Feb and would tie the record warmest low for any of JFM! Just yesterday, they tied the Jan record of 68 and they had 67 two days ago, which was a record for the date. This warm stretch certainly hasn’t disappointed warm lovers!
 
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