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Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska

Will this a be a cold but dry? Or is it too early?


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Obviously with a high pushing in u will have to have a dry period since you can’t get precip in high pressure obviously ... the keys with cold shots is to look at the front end for a storm and the back end for a storm
 
Famous last words lol. No, I basically agree with everything you said. The amount of staying power is where the rug could get yanked.
Well it’s the s/e we don’t normally see staying power of winter storms or cold. I know most would be happy with a small window late Jan. for one winter storm. Then rain for 3 weeks followed by another winter storm late Feb.
 
Is the 18Z GFS drunk again? Check this out @pcbjr , @Stormsfury , and @Bham 99 at least for entertainment:

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Not this again...
 
Feel like we've done this over and over again but hello January 2014 like cold in fantasy land on this run. What a ridiculous one.

Just one run but it's making me wonder. Watch this week or so of warmth lead to things blooming and then bam. Major cold.
 
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Will this a be a cold but dry? Or is it too early?
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People often forget low level or surface dry air gets stuck in the hills from north Georgia into western NC. Meaning greater evaporative cooling or monster CAD events when the next big dog does come to moisten the upper column.
 
IMO, wintery door opens for most lower elevations (Atlanta to Raleigh) after January 23rd. The two wintry mix events prior may not workout for most outside of VA/NC west of i77. *All based on the first major cold outbreak arriving.
 
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