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Pattern Nippy November

euro snow fwiw
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Gatlinburg/Cosby with the sweet spot for our area. Gatlinburg a great place to be when it snows.
 
I can see this storm increasing some what for winter weather in the southeast maybe not much but a mixture for sure. Euro and the cmc keeps the moisture and most of the gefs members still keeps it together as well
 
Parts of NC actually had snow flurries with little to no accumulation on the evening of November 12, 2013, which was a Tuesday. There's a small chance history could repeat itself.
Admittedly, there were some minor accumulations of up to 0.5” down on the coast with that event even down to areas like Jacksonville, New Bern, & Wilmington which rarely see accumulating snow to begin with
 
The 12z EPS is forecasting Charlotte to smash its previous record low max temp next Wed w/ a mean in the upper 30s. If this ended up verifying, it would also be the earliest sub-40F day in the season on record in Charlotte. Notice on the box & whisker plot that well over 75% of the EPS members are forecasting Charlotte to set a new record low max on Wed the 12th.
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While not blistering cold past next week, temps look to be below average for the foreseeable future on all models except the GFS with the reoccurring strong Aleutian low.
Yep the eps and euro would keep the cool to cold rolling right through at least D14

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