sooooo Close. Much better look on the GFS around day 6.
06z
12z
I’ve been mentioning about this one for a long time and haven’t sleeped on it at all, if it was January or February this would be getting everyone’s attention
Pattern Nippy November
- Thread starter jackendrickwx
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I’ve been mentioning about this one for a long time and haven’t sleeped on it at all, if it was January or February this would be getting everyone’s attention
sooooo Close. Much better look on the GFS around day 6.
06z
12z
Soundings don’t matter much around that time, but we get the idea of a leftover artic airmass at lower levels-surface like past events, this is that type of setup that would favor more sleet/freezing rain, that run was close to a solid sleet event
The GFS is garbage ? bombs out the low in the 950s and just funnels in artic air into the US
GFS.....oooohhhhhh GFS....
This is absolutely absurd and it's not completely in fantasy land. I have to say that it's probable that it's way off (but we'll see what the Euro has to say close to the same time period).
This is absolutely absurd and it's not completely in fantasy land. I have to say that it's probable that it's way off (but we'll see what the Euro has to say close to the same time period).
D
Deleted member 1449
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The GFS has probably been nipping at the Wild Turkey a little early in the season. It could be correct with generally cold pattern but not nearly as cold as advertised.
The consistency of a strong arctic blast sometime mid month is there. The blast probably won't be as strong like what 12z is suggesting though. The blast of cold air is filters in tremendously fast and catches up with the moisture, it would be very windy behind a front like that.
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This is not in fantasy land and I know gfs can have some drunken issues, but given the consistency gfs has been showing these cold out breaks, I say we have a legit chance of seeing well below average temps and possible storm mixed in. Weather Channel had a discussion this morning about cold outbreak November coming with multiple chances of snows systems.
Nov 1st had a departure of -11.8 with 53/36.. you have to go back to April 20th to find a day with a greater negative departure. -14.7. 51/43.
It’s safe to say I guess, that model watching for winter weather is truly back, fun is now beginning
