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Severe Severe potential April 13th-15th Palm Sunday Weekend

Seeing some flash flooding here with pea size hail and a whole lot of CTG lightning, this train of storms looks like it’s still developing in the southern part of the cluster, could see some bigger flooding issues
 
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ZCZC SPCPWOSPC ALL
WOUS40 KWNS 130742
ALZ000-ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-TXZ000-131800-

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0242 AM CDT SAT APR 13 2019

...Severe thunderstorms expected over parts of the East Texas to
lower Mississippi Valley region later today and tonight...

* LOCATIONS...
Central and northern Louisiana
Mississippi
East Texas
Southern Arkansas
Western Alabama

* HAZARDS...
Several tornadoes, a few intense
Widespread damaging winds
Scattered large hail, some baseball size

* SUMMARY...
Numerous severe thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes,
wind damage and large hail, are expected across parts of east
Texas, Louisiana, southern Arkansas, Mississippi, western
Alabama and surrounding areas today and tonight. The greatest
risk is from east Texas to central Mississippi.

Preparedness actions...

Review your severe weather safety procedures for the possibility
of dangerous weather today. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio,
weather.gov, or other media for watches and warnings. A tornado
watch means that conditions are favorable for tornadoes to form
during the next several hours. If a tornado warning is issued for
your area, move to a place of safety, ideally in a basement or
interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building.

&&

..Edwards.. 04/13/2019
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New AFD from Blacksburg mentions the latest guidance having way more clouds for western NC. Good news for anyone rooting against a real “enhanced risk” event. But still some severe around with damaging winds.
 
BirdManDoomW said:
New AFD from Blacksburg mentions the latest guidance having way more clouds for western NC. Good news for anyone rooting against a real “enhanced risk” event. But still some severe around with damaging winds.
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Isn't a tornado really just some "damaging winds"? I think I will stick with the SPC on this one thank you.
 
I think ARCC or someone in here said it last night but I could definitely see a case where Misssippi steals the show today
 
I thought there would already be a mesoscale discussion already. I guess itll be any time now.
 
Likely a enhanced for NC/upstate of SC, maybe even a moderate
NAM 3KM has a near loaded gun sounding over my house tommorow and large STPs
34AA66AB-3A69-4086-B4F7-846A544C7EC5.png85BF9167-E3D8-4CEA-8E82-E5C2C856E760.pngF8F94A87-5AA8-4026-959B-C273F3DA6E98.png
 
My bridge didn't stand a chance haha,but probably a day there should of been more flood watches out



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Myfrotho704_ said:
Really looking like a significant threat for much of the SE now
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By the time it progresses to near the Triangle, it should be in linear mode and thus reduce the tornado threat somewhat. Definitely should be sufficient cape and shear for convection with winds and at least some tornado threat.
 
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