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Severe April 6-8th severe threat

These soundings continue to increase helicity/shear a tad Around my area, me no likey those random spin up tornadoes, other than that damaging winds/hail dominates based off this sounding, this actually supports supercell structures but still looks like organized multicellular clusters are gonna dominate 7F3FD997-3E88-4009-BF32-C4880E7080E1.png
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
These soundings continue to increase helicity/shear a tad Around my area, me no likey those random spin up tornadoes, other than that damaging winds/hail dominates based off this sounding, this actually supports supercell structures but still looks like organized multicellular clusters are gonna dominate View attachment 18608
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To add to that vorticity stretching always helps out when it comes to storms coming out of the lee side of the mountains in these setups
 
Fountainguy97 said:
Overnight hrrr and nam are not quite as intense with the development of a large line of storms across NC this evening.

That being said there will still be plenty of TStorm activity across SC and NC and eastern portions of GA this afternoon!

It’s all about counting the minutes of sunlight now.

Biggest question will be how hot and how unstable we become this afternoon.
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Pretty overcast here right now. Starting out a lot like we did here yesterday, but the clouds broke and the sun came out, and we warmed up pretty quickly. Guess we have to see if the same happens today.

Sounds like it's blowing up early in Alabama, though.
 
Looks like maybe 2 tornadoes touched down already in alabama today one northwest of jefferson county and one in north alabama damage in both of them. 1 confirmed in north alabama the other yet to be confirmed may just be damaging wind.
 
BufordWX said:
Overnight HRRR runs really lowered cape values for Alabama and Georgia today. Could this be a result of cloud cover as mentioned earlier?
4z
View attachment 18610
10z (current)
View attachment 18609
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Meh, it's such a messy setup with lots of moving parts. I wouldn't put too much stock into any one model output.

Like others said, it's probably best to just monitor observations and radar/satellite trends.
 
Spc mesoanalysis shows over 2000 j of instability building in on central alabama later. Wind fields won't forecast but i expect them to be pretty robust. So anybody in central alabama should keep a eye on the warnings because today's forecast seems to be fluid unfortunately. The best shear seems to move in around 12 o clock
 
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Now spc analysis shows near 3000j around 2 o'clock for central alabama. ? the damage northwest of birmingham seemed to cause a lot of damage they closed some schools in that county because of it.
 
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