Still tho seeing it with its solution is a red flag fo sho
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Pattern Fabulous February
- Thread starter PEA_RIDGE
- Start date
Just a sign of spring, storms getting ruined do to CAD, yay a 50 degree rain
Brent
Member
Yep wedge is always tough to dislodge.... see note from NWS
Thus, it will take awhile for the warm front over SC to overtake this air mass, and
have shaved a couple of degrees off highs, around 50 NW to lower 70s
SE. Will monitor trends closely, though, because even these temps
could be too warm.
Considering I'm still stuck at 41 right now, yeah those temps still too warm..... wedge always over performs when wintry precip not in the equation.
packfan98
Moderator
Good looking CAD 1040 HP on the Euro:
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packfan98
Moderator
Major winter storm for parts of NC on the Euro.
It’s simply amazing, as you said, the staying power of the cold wedge, when it’s a difference of 48/60, but it’s impossible to get to 30,31 this year it seems!
weatherfide
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
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Just had a tornado warning issued on very short notice. We may have had an EF0 up the road...maybe. it was quite windy.
packfan98
Moderator
Yuck!
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Wow, now we have the Euro showing a winter storm threat for next week in NC. This might be legit.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Contrary to popular belief, I don't think the MJO behavior lately really is unusual, especially once you understand why it's happening.
The MJO took longer than usual to cross the west-central Pacific the past few weeks because the base state was already far enough removed from neutral ENSO and making a clear advancement towards El Nino that the excess convective heating brought about by what was an already displaced warm pool offset adiabatic cooling in the ascending part of the MJO wave, which slowed down the MJO. I.e. if we weren't making a move towards an El Nino this upcoming year, the MJO already would be in the "cold" phases of the W Hem & Indian Ocean.
The MJO took longer than usual to cross the west-central Pacific the past few weeks because the base state was already far enough removed from neutral ENSO and making a clear advancement towards El Nino that the excess convective heating brought about by what was an already displaced warm pool offset adiabatic cooling in the ascending part of the MJO wave, which slowed down the MJO. I.e. if we weren't making a move towards an El Nino this upcoming year, the MJO already would be in the "cold" phases of the W Hem & Indian Ocean.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
I am at 46 and was forecasted to get to 60 today. Maybe this will happen again for us next week.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
NWS has a forecasted high here of 52 today. Currently 41. Oh and Euro, woof!
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Slowly but surely something legitimate is potentially materializing, I'd give this about a 3 atm given how guidance has evolved of late.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Difference is we actually have the Euro starting to show a threat now. GFS and FV3 are not alone anymore like they have bee. with the storms they showed the last three weeks in the 7 to 10 day range.
snowlover91
Member
It’s just one Euro run though, we need to see it consistently showing this for several runs before it has any weight as a threat imo. Still nice to see all 3 globals with something of interest.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Yeah, but you have to start somewhere. Maybe this is just the first warning shot. It has been a long time since all three were showing something at the same time.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
This definitely has considerably more credence as a legitimate threat than the phantom storm everyone was gushing over last week on the Fv3.
Snowed In
Member
Just had a tornado warning here in East Atlanta area