Wouldn’t this allow that possible storm to cut if this continues ?
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No, the press in the NE , pushing SW on the animation is great, acts like a 50/50 low/ block, poor mans -NAO!! Just where we want it now!!Wouldn’t this allow that possible storm to cut if this continues ?
View attachment 15382
No, the press in the NE , pushing SW on the animation is great, acts like a 50/50 low/ block, poor mans -NAO!! Just where we want it now!!
OOPS - I now see they were different runs ... my very bad ...Wait wut
OOPS - I now see they were different runs ... my very bad ...
What's the EPS look for eastern SE?12z eps through day ten is very active like the gefs
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Meh, I’ve seen false hopes of dark blues down in the Upstate on both GEFS and EPS, so on, only to get rain at go time. This winterWhat's the EPS look for eastern SE?
Yes!Tim Buckley ?
Yes!
What's the EPS look for eastern SE?
Yes, Larry; concur; just hate being the echo of somber news ...
Very bad, if I may editorialize ...The 12Z consensus, including the EPS, is still showing the same general idea, N Pac blocking high/-PNA/SER. Tick tock it refuses to change El Nino/more favorable MJO phases be danged. So, still no good hints through 2/25 on the EPS regarding the general pattern. Blocking patterns are often very stubborn and this is a blocking pattern that is blocking what normally would be an El Nino/favorable MJO induced favorable for SE pattern. This is one of the most persistent, stable patterns I've seen in quite a while. Sometimes they're good and sometimes they're bad. This one (-PNA/+AO/+NAO) is bad.
I just hope it's a one year thing and not one of those that lasts for several years.The 12Z consensus, including the EPS, is still showing the same general idea, N Pac blocking high/-PNA/SER. Tick tock it refuses to change El Nino/more favorable MJO phases be danged. So, still no good hints through 2/25 on the EPS regarding the general pattern. Blocking patterns are often very stubborn and this is a blocking pattern that is blocking what normally would be an El Nino/favorable MJO induced favorable for SE pattern. This is one of the most persistent, stable patterns I've seen in quite a while. Sometimes they're good and sometimes they're bad. This one (-PNA/+AO/+NAO) is bad.
The 12Z consensus, including the EPS, is still showing the same general idea, N Pac blocking high/-PNA/SER. Tick tock it refuses to change El Nino/more favorable MJO phases be danged. So, still no good hints through 2/25 on the EPS regarding the general pattern. Blocking patterns are often very stubborn and this is a blocking pattern that is blocking what normally would be an El Nino/favorable MJO induced favorable for SE pattern. This is one of the most persistent, stable patterns I've seen in quite a while. Sometimes they're good and sometimes they're bad. This one (-PNA/+AO/+NAO) is bad.