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Wintry January 29th-30th ARCC Slam Dunk Winter Weather Threat

Too the comment on the 14z HRRR slowdown and look.... compare this to the GFS just now man it looks very very similar to me

14z HRRR at 09z Tuesday
HRRRSE_prec_ptype_018.png


12z GFS at 09z Tuesday
prateptype_cat.us_se.png
 
Yeah need it slower meaning by time heavy bands move into your area the artic front is already out of head and the air temperture throughout the columns has crashed
 
I expect if things slow down a bit it will allow higher totals south of I-20. Perhaps BMX will add WSW for next row of counties south if they see this trend in short range models.
 
Nah, you need both faster and slower. Cold faster and precip slower:p. Seriously. Interesting battle between globals and hires stuff. Especially up here and east of the mountains. Hires models are really light to non existent. I'll hug the fv3 for now and hope for an inch.
 
Anyway to see how the arctic air is moving upstream? Is it what the models have predicted so far? Is it Colder or warmer, moving faster or slower than modeled? Is it still in Canada?
 
Tagat said:
Anyway to see how the arctic air is moving upstream? Is it what the models have predicted so far? Is it Colder or warmer, moving faster or slower than modeled? Is it still in Canada?
Click to expand...
Last time I heard, the Arctic front has moved past St. Louis.
 
Just kinda of a question. There looks to be more moisture on radar than the models are showing.. does this mean anything or am I just looking at it wrong ?
 
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