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Pattern December - Deal or No Deal?

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I want to see snow accumlations further south into South Carolina/Ga on the ensembles before we could mention it in Central SC, this may be a 1-40 special, dont believe it will be cold enough for a I-20 special.
 
Trends look to be favoring some kind of winter storm from overnight. I see distinctly most that favor are of a CAD type, but from what the Euro showed, snow is still possible at the end of beginning in N GA though upstate SC. Still a week or so to go but at least there's going to be something to watch. Just beware of the day 5 or 4 disappearance. Happens a lot and everyone melts down only to climb the cliff the next day. I do see some overrunning scenarios such as this beauty from the EPS. Sorry Birminghamnand south folks.
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I would call you a compound word that the words start with "B" and "H" respectivly, but Id get banned because apparently it is against the rules.
 
If the southern energy continues to speed up like being shown the storm will stay south no doubt . Could really put our friends in tenn back in play for bigger impacts


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I want to see snow accumlations further south into South Carolina/Ga on the ensembles before we could mention it in Central SC, this may be a 1-40 special, dont believe it will be cold enough for a I-20 special.

You have 11 members showing something for the midlands. That’s about all you can ask for this far out.


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If the southern energy continues to speed up like being shown the storm will stay south no doubt . Could really put our friends in tenn back in play for bigger impacts


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Means more snow on the north side too....less mixing issues

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Someone beat me to it, but oh well, here is the replacement. South trend continues
The NC part of that map will verify! Roxboro gets 22”
 
If the southern energy continues to speed up like being shown the storm will stay south no doubt . Could really put our friends in tenn back in play for bigger impacts


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I'm hanging on by a thread here. I'm just hoping the High trends stronger as we get closer to the storm. Remember Thankgiving and how poorly the models handled that high pressure and cold in the NE and Mid Atlantic a week or so out? That ended up MUCH colder than predicted. That's my inner weenie messing with my brain trying to grasp as many straws as it can for this one lol.
 
I like the 8th-10th time frame for someone on here to get an early Christmas gift.... 6z GEFS didn't look bad at all

I sometimes like going back through a thread a week or two back and the comments are interesting, like this little tidbit I came across from Nov. 27th ahem.....
 
Anybody else worried this threat gets suppressed into oblivion now?
I'm about 90% certain this will happen on the models sometime during the next 3-5 days, (Forsyth actually mentioned this earlier) but I then think they will bring it back. Personally I don't think it gets fully suppressed and we whiff.... just mho
 
6z gfs was pretty close to an all snow sounding from 156-174 here. Not sure I buy the temps and dewpoints rising into the mid 30s after that with a north or northeast wind and dewpoints in Va in the upper 10s to around 20. But we are still 7 days out

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Can somebody post the dew point map for Friday night or in the wedge Saturday ??
 
In about 4 days, models will probably lose it then the Nam will come out with freakish totals like last year and everyone will write the nam off till the last minute
The NAM sucks hard at totals!! But is my go-to for p-types!
 
Gosh, I've been very busy and last checked this thread Wednesday. When I checked today, it was over 70 pages. It was in the 20s when I checked earlier this week. We are some starving people! Good luck to everyone...now I've got some reading to catch up on.
 
So otherwise, GEFS is backing off for the Midlands of South Carolina, Look Im in southern SC but I want Columbia to see something because its long overdue there.
My man, Columbia is in hell, it does not snow in Hell. Richland and Lexington county have not been under a winter storm warning since Feb 2014. Fingers crossed that this Winter does the trick.
 
6z gfs was pretty close to an all snow sounding from 156-174 here. Not sure I buy the temps and dewpoints rising into the mid 30s after that with a north or northeast wind and dewpoints in Va in the upper 10s to around 20. But we are still 7 days out

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yeah man with that track I'm not concerned about temps...... still I'd feel better if we were within 24 hours lol
 
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